TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$418,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$525,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,012 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers52c104,614$54,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,399.481,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed 76ers48c104,521$50,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,350.9717031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers53c103,979$54,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,868.9543148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers47c91,602$43,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,486.42,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked 76ers48c31,250$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,25044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers50c19,615$9,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,739.091,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers53c16,421$8,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,703.131,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers49c13,804$6,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,021.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers50c11,906$5,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,918.943,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed 76ers50c10,050$5,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,02559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Pacers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00038253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Pacers50c9,881$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9007552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers52c7,500$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers53c5,425$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,871.012,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed 76ers47c3,715$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.9592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked 76ers47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers48c2,693$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.664,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed 76ers50c2,560$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28058347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed 76ers54c2,450$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.0641553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Pacers53c2,082$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.561,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers52c1,929$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.43,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers50c1,634$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.0866853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers48c1,582$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.791,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Pacers52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers51c1,491$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed 76ers55c1,110$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5502,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers49c1,087$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Pacers53c1,023$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5404540%18 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf6e…4948backed 76ers47c948.94$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers50c825$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…2ca8backed 76ers44c738$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed 76ers49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35711137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed 76ers50c690.35$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.3121243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed 76ers47c682.98$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.9832450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pacers51c636.98$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.861,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d3…7034backed 76ers52c577.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.672161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…cb29backed Pacers53c536.77$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pacers55c529.89$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.441,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers50c529.43$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.815,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed 76ers55c455.27$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.2742845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Pacers53c435.85$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23113339.1%52 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x902e…5f41backed 76ers49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.169853.1%52 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked 76ers48c407.87$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.584045%18 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked 76ers47c382.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9848546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed 76ers48c353.41$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.414643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked 76ers47c337.88$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.888344.6%37 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed 76ers48c297.42$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4516749.1%82 W · 85 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9d…31fdbacked Pacers56c266$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f7…2633backed Pacers53c255.56$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.256947.8%33 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pacers52c252.56$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.512,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed 76ers55c250.91$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9116030.6%49 W · 111 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabe…f76dbacked Pacers56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed 76ers53c249.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4916053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed 76ers44c235.92$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1168940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bb3…bd92backed Pacers56c222$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Pacers49c219.22$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.35244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers50c211$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.175,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked 76ers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.335054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed 76ers48c203.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.352,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10689050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked 76ers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10440035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed 76ers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3111051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Pacers53c188.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9947349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked 76ers45c173.82$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.826735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed 76ers52c162.85$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1714647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked 76ers47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.537750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Pacers53c144.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0416658.4%97 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafbd…432dbacked Pacers78c137.5$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2519258.3%112 W · 80 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed 76ers47c134.31$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.181,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Pacers55c131.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3848451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers55c124.65$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.564,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked 76ers50c119.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9766143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed 76ers50c119.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.261,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ee7…fdf6backed Pacers48c108$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.84911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-78.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed 76ers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked 76ers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549053.3%48 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed 76ers51c98.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2718256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Pacers57c93.72$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1324363.8%155 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Pacers76c86.84$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6631151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Pacers45c85.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6235326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Pacers54c85.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.952246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed 76ers52c82.92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.811637.9%44 W · 72 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ee…c3b8backed 76ers46c74.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.49933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b1…70e0backed 76ers50c74.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.07966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed 76ers48c72.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8376250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed 76ers50c72.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.189642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Pacers53c63.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8132952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers52c63.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.023,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Pacers52c61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7211150.5%56 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…196ebacked 76ers47c57.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1516543.6%72 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed 76ers44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8293036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Pacers53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305062%31 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa26f…4b98backed Pacers53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7f…8c81backed 76ers45c53.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3310551.4%54 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Pacers53c52.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6951651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed 76ers51c50.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Pacers48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2438252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Pacers52c49.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2619748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed 76ers50c49.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5117949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.