TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers54c48,092$26,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,029.911,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers46c17,428$8,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,419.13,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers45c12,470$5,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,834.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers46c8,836$4,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,771.252,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pacers57c7,735$4,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,387.781,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers41c4,289$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers44c3,998$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.992,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pacers53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed 76ers50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f6…3cc6backed Pacers51c2,615$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.6540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers49c2,606$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.453,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5f3…a5f2backed 76ers49c2,564$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…acb5backed Pacers51c2,545$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42e0…c156backed Pacers51c2,536$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.3640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a46…1b9dbacked Pacers51c2,533$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94e…2818backed Pacers51c2,485$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.3540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9685…634fbacked 76ers49c2,475$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0b…efe3backed 76ers49c2,456$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f9b…8e50backed Pacers51c2,455$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.0540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7650…5278backed 76ers49c2,436$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90e…e7d2backed 76ers49c2,435$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4af0…f59abacked Pacers51c2,432$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.3240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4a3…67eabacked 76ers49c2,168$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f0…082cbacked Pacers51c2,156$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7d5…ce08backed 76ers49c2,063$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.13475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x670d…294ebacked 76ers49c2,052$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02ce…c893backed 76ers49c2,045$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8dc…2ba2backed 76ers49c2,036$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c78…9cb6backed 76ers49c2,033$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.83450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee3d…ea29backed Pacers51c1,943$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec1…6314backed 76ers49c1,818$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa452…2b1ebacked Pacers51c1,764$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2126…6002backed Pacers51c1,755$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb8…ae8dbacked Pacers51c1,748$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd896…3740backed 76ers49c1,584$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+60%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers45c1,520$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.215,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers46c1,507$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.892,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Pacers50c1,482$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.7639842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ecb…a828backed Pacers51c1,191$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers46c1,184$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.784,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers45c1,182$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.16,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers59c1,070$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.234,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed 76ers63c1,005$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.2383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers46c799.03$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.052,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed 76ers45c771.99$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.7221243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked 76ers41c753.66$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.666944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed 76ers47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37111137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Pacers53c566.6$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed 76ers43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28566645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked 76ers44c424$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.4417644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers47c365.3$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6189050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers43c341.34$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.562,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed 76ers45c299.09$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.22,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Pacers57c216.24$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3116749.1%82 W · 85 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x708a…1f12backed 76ers50c201.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.593554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed 76ers46c200.47$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.52,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed 76ers41c198$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6468940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed 76ers43c197.21$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0953839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed 76ers48c174.2$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0114647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fee…5a90backed 76ers59c170.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.856264.5%40 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed 76ers43c160.37$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.035244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked 76ers46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.466143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b87…f42dbacked 76ers43c151.16$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.167544%33 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Pacers57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.535942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed 76ers47c128.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.721,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed 76ers37c122.32$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7727144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed 76ers40c120.74$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.851,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc46…a7ecbacked 76ers43c120$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed 76ers45c115.91$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.758936%32 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked 76ers43c114.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.384045%18 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed 76ers43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77eb…1b68backed Pacers52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Pacers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2466…f78abacked 76ers49c91.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Pacers59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked 76ers43c79.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.163522.9%8 W · 27 L-6.1wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-48.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers55c74.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.473,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed 76ers47c74.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1411637.9%44 W · 72 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed 76ers45c72.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.669642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Pacers50c68.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.45650%28 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Pacers77c64.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015758%91 W · 66 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Pacers61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.647948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Pacers54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.411650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Pacers52c59.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pacers48c58.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.192,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed 76ers47c54.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7445651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9985…9b14backed Pacers54c53.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.928743.7%38 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed 76ers46c52.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5653043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed 76ers48c50.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1487453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed 76ers44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.930146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked 76ers42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2942146.1%194 W · 227 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed 76ers23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.523047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked 76ers42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6216546.1%76 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed 76ers45c46.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.574548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Pacers53c44.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7588845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed 76ers40c44.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Pacers58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed 76ers45c42.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4910553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Pacers51c40.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6423630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0f…84b9backed 76ers50c40.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.26464.1%41 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.