NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f613256344615d615c35c38649236709049450d480b61f84680af52d80616cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 35c | 436.17$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.51 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked 76ers | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed 76ers | 66c | 152.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -10.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked 76ers | 66c | 151.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Pacers | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 39c | 141.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked 76ers | 27c | 122$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pacers | 34c | 78.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Pacers | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked 76ers | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Pacers | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked 76ers | 75c | 48.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed 76ers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Pacers vs. 76ers76ers won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.