NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07311a2b518d5cc851120267d4afb37fc843df96d9711cbc169b4c77de02d1fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 3,308$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.26 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 2,110$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.2 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,970$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.39 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 363.04$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 133.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 103.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…9bcabacked Over | 35c | 103.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Over | 56c | 74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Under | 44c | 59.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 49c | 50.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 45c | 46.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6900…abb7backed Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Over | 40c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked Over | 50c | 25.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 25.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 52c | 24.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 57c | 23.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5this page
- Pacers vs. 76ers76ers won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.