TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over52c24,378$12,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,774.732,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under47c15,600$7,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,248.761,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb02…58d3backed Under51c6,510$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over52c6,300$3,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,27658449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5693…dff0backed Over49c5,810$2,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14cd…85bebacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74b8…e10dbacked Under51c4,300$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under50c2,456$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.8262347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over51c2,426$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.2617744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under49c1,910$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.353,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c1,651$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079b…ed8cbacked Over49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over45c1,153$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.7137944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under47c1,055$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over18c1,012$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.881,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b7b…81b0backed Under51c960$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c902.14$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Under40c803.57$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.2513543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74a8…e862backed Under51c690$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…a2e8backed Over51c599.49$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.742015%3 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-61.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c581.82$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.514,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over47c555.74$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.214346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Over54c554.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaee…4229backed Under47c553.49$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under53c479.14$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.249142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Over54c458.76$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.814045%18 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under46c437.94$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.491,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18884342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under50c397.4$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.721243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under51c391.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.667365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over75c352$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26446258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under25c352$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26450347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under52c350$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16828751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c292$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.082,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over69c288.51$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.752,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…44d9backed Under54c282.54$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.977100%7 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+85.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over51c282.14$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b5…0033backed Over49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7d…a80ebacked Over46c226.66$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.261020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-58.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59b7…e19fbacked Over46c226.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.131233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f44…c975backed Over46c225.86$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1c4…3f5dbacked Over46c223.06$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.61933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe79…7be4backed Over46c221.63$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Over10c215$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.752449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c207.19$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.583,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over47c199.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9866143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over44c198$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1240146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d0…538dbacked Under54c193.4$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f8…3e71backed Under54c192.79$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ebc…1ff2backed Under54c189.96$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.381050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e87…0fdebacked Under54c189.48$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa144…ac5bbacked Under54c187.31$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Under52c177.67$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2810953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c167.69$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.563,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under50c146.14$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.72,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over51c132.28$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x874e…9bcabacked Over73c130$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.93336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Over47c129.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.516038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01ec…0233backed Under54c128.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over69c121.26$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8427144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over24c120.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.992,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8311650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf59…c831backed Over46c117.51$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa6…a17ebacked Over46c117.35$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.384454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under55c105.77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.771,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…33a9backed Under52c103.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under48c100.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2616036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2315959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4da7…ff92backed Under27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4845657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c99.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.995,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1925…8249backed Under51c97.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7111252.7%59 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over54c92.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under22c91.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.521637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c4c…9f84backed Over39c91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.85714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.81,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Over49c78.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.63345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Under54c77$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4214647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under48c74.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.491,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed Under48c73.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.092365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick42cpaid+63.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Under55c73.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0116261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over67c70.36$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3431144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55cd…5cccbacked Under75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Under28c68.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.68243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Under53c67.66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6618031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under50c65.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.441354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…89c0backed Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.693847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Under47c55.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3219748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under52c53.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8537959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.