TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$549,502
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$558,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,502 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed No27c92,330$24,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,8916942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No22c48,224$10,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,609.741,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No24c17,223$4,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,142.215330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No21c15,969$3,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,429.021,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes73c15,029$10,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,057.9218847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No34c11,226$3,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,766.775642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No1c10,100$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xede0…ff11backed No26c9,188$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No22c8,526$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.3148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes72c8,488$6,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes77c6,989$5,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c6,564$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.64368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes78c6,254$4,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No70c6,198$4,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,342.726446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No19c5,762$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.9724349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes65c4,522$2,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.617741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes24c4,096$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.88887.5%7 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.53per pick34cpaid+178.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes74c4,061$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.774348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99b3…6fedbacked No76c3,907$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6379…c82ebacked No75c3,677$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No74c3,476$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,572.471136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc18a…7c09backed Yes26c3,429$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.56616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No76c3,078$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.581729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked No22c2,884$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.822045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Yes75c2,625$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.344100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes50c2,459$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.9362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd932…4164backed No23c2,383$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes73c2,260$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6103458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No23c2,204$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.855763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No30c2,112$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.885463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes25c2,008$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.961030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No1c1,989$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.892835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5424…b09bbacked Yes71c1,967$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No22c1,958$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.037149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Yes75c1,943$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c1,915$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.7624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Yes75c1,872$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.874100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed No2c1,833$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No26c1,675$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.072454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes78c1,583$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2410938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes24c1,501$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.3930448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No74c1,500$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.982445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes40c1,480$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.288066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes26c1,470$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.911618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed No20c1,432$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.47742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed No60c1,402$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked No24c1,382$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.83944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No29c1,364$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.471668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x196e…e9d6backed Yes75c1,313$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No26c1,154$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.391346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes64c1,151$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.224170.7%29 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes25c1,100$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8253336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes80c1,100$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2204100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No24c1,060$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.488644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x784f…60cbbacked Yes75c1,022$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.56366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked No32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202015%3 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-67.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No37c999.98$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.995747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes75c985$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+260.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c980.03$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.2787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes39c970.27$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.418976.4%68 W · 21 L+17.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No21c907.24$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.521338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No77c874.55$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.51650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No35c847.79$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2221143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x234d…a48dbacked Yes75c836.97$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb68e…30cfbacked No22c823.41$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes50c819.01$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.7111070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No30c728.08$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.42714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Yes75c706.57$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.64580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed No35c686.43$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.258435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No25c683.32$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.4612963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes73c676.31$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.758058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77eb…7897backed Yes75c653.33$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed No76c648.42$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.82842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes73c642.62$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4210364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked No21c639.49$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.812065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No21c540.75$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.561250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No75c537.91$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No20c517.84$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4945233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked No37c517.75$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No28c512.57$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.523040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed No25c505.93$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.43825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No19c500.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.143154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38012647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38027049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38033148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38027748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes64c498.55$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.642972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.1wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+57.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked No76c496.34$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.221872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked No37c481.1$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes26c459.2$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.815046%23 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes64c458.63$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.113080%24 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x13ad…241bbacked No72c457.04$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.791717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-76.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes26c438.25$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.154438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No43c436.86$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.744459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes40c432.29$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.38683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.44per pick39cpaid+103.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No27c402.36$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.414544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes23c400$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3083828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01db…ef1abacked No76c395.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Yes49c392.67$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.111241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes73c389.62$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.143070%21 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.