TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes18c19,964$3,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,593.455642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes21c5,670$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.752321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes15c4,812$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.617227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes10c3,862$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.198435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes20c2,686$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.2533145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes8c2,575$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.82520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.993461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes20c1,983$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.621143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Yes15c1,818$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.84425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd087…c3adbacked No75c1,757$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+133.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc18a…7c09backed Yes26c1,639$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.2616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes13c1,328$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes17c1,140$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8411725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No74c1,123$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.014250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes17c1,118$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes26c1,103$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.683540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes8c1,070$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8411916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Yes17c946.18$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.851030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes16c906.27$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.533619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Yes11c845.92$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No74c790.48$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.534845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes25c772.57$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.14887.5%7 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.53per pick34cpaid+178.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes12c694.61$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.359920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes17c659.55$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.12742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes21c630.53$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.411573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes17c623.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0145233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No80c601.4$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.281668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes19c500.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.169641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes18c458.03$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9514544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes17c451$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.162524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes12c434.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.14723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes10c424.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.44728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed No80c401.06$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.214100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Yes17c391.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.51944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes4c378.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.714630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes26c372.66$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.541936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Yes20c372.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7840%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.563438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9986…6d93backed Yes13c367.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes25c347.77$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9423342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes19c299.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.994245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes13c295.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.373828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes7c263.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.46714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e8…2352backed Yes15c257.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Yes20c238$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes25c229.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.39846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713a…258dbacked Yes26c224.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6003…3020backed Yes21c224.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes20c200.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes17c195.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.262030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Yes20c190.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.08944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes13c186.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.131118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes15c186.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.924348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebf0…8715backed Yes15c183.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes21c181.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes19c176.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.277149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes17c156.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.611513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes25c154.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.726041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes22c139.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.64850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes25c124.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.11838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd87…7e87backed Yes17c111.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes17c111.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes20c107.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No75c100.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.046443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes20c99.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-75.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed Yes26c99.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c96.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa23…7afabacked Yes26c95.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.821040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c0…6c8abacked Yes26c92.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…99dabacked Yes17c89.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-54%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No75c88.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.164858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36f…e5fdbacked Yes26c85.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc987…123abacked Yes26c82.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes19c79.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.032065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Yes21c77.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.191643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes20c73.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.111936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes15c72.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1716224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a8b…082ebacked Yes19c70.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152030%6 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Yes18c58.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.614440.9%18 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa74f…bf89backed Yes20c57.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc81…e072backed Yes19c55.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes24c53.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.816448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes21c51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.714050%20 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+110.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes21c50.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe96a…7e95backed Yes25c44.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No75c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1110960.6%66 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc779…a904backed No76c31.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No75c27.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.895261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed No75c26.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.571442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0d0…8db8backed No75c15.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.95366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a91…c1f2backed No80c15.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.