TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x77eb…7897

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
BMW Open: Sumit Nagal vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.1
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.6
BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.26
Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutetbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.46
Busan: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Adam Waltonbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.42
Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Yun-Seong Chungbacked Yun-Seong Chung · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.3
Madrid: Toby Samuel vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$610.26
Monza: Mattia Bellucci vs Dino Prizmicbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.84
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.21
BMW Open, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$178.47
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Oceane Dodin vs Kathinka von Deichmannbacked Oceane Dodin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$133.29
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Otto Virtanenbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.32
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Yara Bartashevichbacked Yara Bartashevich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.21
BMW Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$266.58
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$203.83
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Pavel Kotovbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$144.48
Sarasota: Daniil Glinka vs Andres Andradebacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.24
Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Hernan Casanovabacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$694Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$694.33
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.32
Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Mattia Belluccibacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.73
Madrid: Elina Avanesyan vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmobacked Ane Mintegi Del Olmo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$169.95
Madrid: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.19
Monza: Dino Prizmic vs Valentin Royerbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.64
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$184.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$302.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$163.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.