TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,224 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No36c33,025$11,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,935.853,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed Yes56c14,232$7,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,301.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Yes76c10,912$8,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No48c9,325$4,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,437.8721950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes78c8,343$6,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.812334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c8,193$5,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,440.44,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c6,510$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,481.7792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No68c6,200$4,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,187.1883444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c6,004$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.031,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No43c4,475$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.841,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Yes24c4,390$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,336.58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes71c4,077$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.65933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e4a…8189backed Yes60c3,804$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Yes24c3,427$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.641233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb5…8149backed Yes15c3,390$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,881.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No45c3,226$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.9860832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed Yes63c3,123$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes36c2,671$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.511457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes38c2,555$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.433925.6%10 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed Yes67c2,359$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Yes59c2,346$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.91457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No59c2,050$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.4923255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No79c1,657$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.753476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No65c1,581$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.912365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No39c1,569$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.3721322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Yes16c1,443$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.57561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Yes50c1,393$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.15966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked Yes41c1,298$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Yes14c1,256$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.451457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+114.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No38c1,255$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.2783939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes23c1,100$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.987851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Yes59c1,078$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.862437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ee…16dbbacked Yes44c1,065$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6af5…992abacked Yes16c1,046$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.242623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a07…7a4dbacked No1c1,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No37c999.98$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.994837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes15c980.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.62,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes42c919.24$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebdc…5f2ebacked Yes55c884.98$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No39c825.99$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.1445841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes70c823.9$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.7522753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No63c797.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1723456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No63c796.55$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1728357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c787.81$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.9363553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No66c710.29$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.7440357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No67c684.13$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.0835759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes37c663.92$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.273265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No69c643.25$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9622455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No69c643.25$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9620360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No27c599.96$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.999530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes16c593.5$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.545939%23 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68b…7044backed Yes16c593.5$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes16c593.5$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.549833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes15c588.01$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.5283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Yes17c586.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.123534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Yes15c525.11$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.35520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes52c503.4$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6133734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No58c500.19$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.0735145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f1…31a0backed Yes15c495.07$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.81742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+91.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Yes77c491.82$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.121050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No52c491.65$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.510948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes20c486.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.5613969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes41c482.3$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.561346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Yes41c478.07$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.062626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa065…b825backed Yes61c465.23$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde87…11a2backed Yes41c457.96$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.94560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes24c457.32$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.5611140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc5…c33bbacked Yes65c451.85$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes13c446.56$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+294.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebf0…8715backed Yes35c439.31$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes62c438.27$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.857936.7%29 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa856…43f9backed Yes45c430.6$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed No78c428.32$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.914035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7667…fad9backed Yes26c421.24$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1813426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87b6…4fc6backed Yes24c397.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77eb…7897backed Yes24c397.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Yes17c391.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+49.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No32c387$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6729038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked No76c374.76$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.312623.1%6 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1997…c150backed Yes65c367.94$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes42c353.43$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.761631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No33c352.57$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7215442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes63c340.57$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.012055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes65c340.41$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.882445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cdd…a775backed Yes14c338.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.29933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Yes78c323.33$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.215863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes14c318$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.641,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3a…65c8backed Yes13c291.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+128.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No36c290.86$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8844424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes16c275.38$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.324114.6%6 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No34c266.94$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.64461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Yes37c260.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.831070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+46.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No37c253.07$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5126641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes63c251.37$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.012657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc856…f642backed No64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c6…b115backed Yes66c240.02$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5732…703bbacked Yes64c239.23$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed Yes67c238.01$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.221266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.