Other European Leagues · resolved market
Motherwell FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceb6f1050dbd02311212dc5090f98b5e5de78300d6ce1ead585e776c6188c56a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 60c | 222,828$133,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,621.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 40c | 199,915$79,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,948.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Under | 48c | 16,077$7,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,289.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 40c | 3,333$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,170$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 40c | 1,504$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.18 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 59c | 853.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 793.84$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.23 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Over | 57c | 786.63$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 41c | 472.25$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 58c | 428.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 44c | 417.85$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 51c | 322.5$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.08 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 294.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.68 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 42c | 290$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Over | 57c | 174.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 50c | 153.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 144.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…071dbacked Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 56c | 104.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 90.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…99b1backed Over | 52c | 84.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 50c | 75.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 65.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Under | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 56c | 54.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…c364backed Over | 58c | 52.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 79c | 51.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…5cb6backed Over | 58c | 45.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…cd99backed Under | 42c | 45.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…595fbacked Under | 43c | 45.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d2…2421backed Under | 43c | 45.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…d7d8backed Under | 45c | 39.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 38.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8d…58e3backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Under | 43c | 33.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…04d0backed Under | 40c | 27.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 60c | 27.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 44c | 26.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ed18backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 18.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Motherwell FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Motherwell FC vs. Dundee United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Motherwell FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Motherwell FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Dundee United FC (-1.5)Motherwell FC won
- Spread: Dundee United FC (-2.5)Motherwell FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.