Other European Leagues · resolved market
Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9b18d9d919d89b25681f752367f5440ae937acd92ae68fa96d743c4ea872605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 37c | 1,348$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 35c | 1,307$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.76 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 1,217$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…d55fbacked Under | 38c | 865.61$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 776.97$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 65c | 770.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 31c | 495.41$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.31 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 418.85$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.22 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 51c | 393.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 32c | 309.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 68c | 230$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 61c | 208.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.41 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…d7d8backed Under | 38c | 189.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 61c | 179.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 63c | 148.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 58c | 146$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 61c | 125.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 61c | 119.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…b616backed Under | 37c | 118.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Over | 64c | 92.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 42c | 89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Over | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 63c | 61.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 39c | 60.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 56c | 59.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 42c | 57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 64c | 56.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…81f6backed Under | 36c | 54.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 69c | 53.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 69c | 53.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 56c | 53.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 70c | 47.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 69c | 45.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…b85fbacked Under | 37c | 42.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Over | 64c | 42.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 68c | 42.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…b734backed Under | 37c | 41.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…5a93backed Under | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Under | 36c | 41.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Under | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 64c | 40.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 63c | 39.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 62c | 35.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 63c | 35.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bae…e81ebacked Over | 65c | 33.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 65c | 30.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 55c | 28.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Over | 64c | 27.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 57c | 27.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…417bbacked Under | 37c | 27.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 69c | 24.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Over | 65c | 23.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 62c | 23.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 65c | 22.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 54c | 21.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 69c | 21.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…29a4backed Over | 64c | 21.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…5e39backed Over | 64c | 20.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…5b55backed Over | 64c | 19.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Over | 65c | 17.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 78c | 16.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 78c | 16.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)Molde FK won
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.