Other European Leagues · resolved market
Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8556cc56dab41a1b66929754ccf87b9d08be2e0bcdd2abdc7056d98618c39922
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 45c | 2,021$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.87 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,569$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Under | 41c | 1,000$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 797.04$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.83 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 51c | 680$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.68 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 35c | 397.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 31c | 291.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Over | 41c | 254.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 195.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 54c | 184.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 56c | 183.07$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 160.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 40c | 150.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf551…fb1dbacked Over | 32c | 129.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 63c | 124.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 16c | 123.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…65ecbacked Under | 41c | 100.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 97.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 44c | 88.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 83.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 44c | 71.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 22c | 66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 38c | 65.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 50c | 63.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 68c | 58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 63c | 45.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 62c | 42.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 59c | 42.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 61c | 37.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 61c | 34.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 62c | 33.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 37c | 33.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 55c | 31.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 49c | 30.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 72c | 30.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 46c | 28.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Under | 63c | 24.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 63c | 18.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 63c | 18.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 66c | 16.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 66c | 16.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 63c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)Molde FK won
- Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Lillestrøm SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.