NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabedbd4b71fb9542e28b80a7e22af988f5a07a73dca05805bb8ca648b55d23ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $676,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $675,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 545,814$289,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256,559.42 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 352,000$165,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,440 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 47c | 149,750$70,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,382.5 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…bc6dbacked Under | 50c | 26,507$13,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,288.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 16,921$8,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,374.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 11,337$5,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,765.66 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.2 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 48c | 6,618$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.64 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.39 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.37 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…b5c5backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 51c | 4,187$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.97 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Under | 47c | 2,511$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.19 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 42c | 2,150$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.75 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 52c | 2,044$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.07 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…2cb3backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 51c | 1,869$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.03 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 1,549$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.52 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…098ebacked Over | 51c | 1,504$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 51c | 1,475$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.51 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 48c | 1,466$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.53 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 52c | 1,460$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.8 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over | 51c | 1,451$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.98 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 51c | 1,424$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.53 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Over | 51c | 1,402$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.96 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…9343backed Under | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 50c | 1,273$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.59 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 48c | 1,139$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.31 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…85d8backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 936.74$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 52c | 932.84$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.76 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Under | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…de52backed Under | 48c | 812.24$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 50c | 767.9$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.95 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Under | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 49c | 699.93$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.97 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 49c | 695.92$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Under | 50c | 650.18$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.09 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…e372backed Under | 48c | 629.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 600.24$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.67 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Under | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 48c | 474.28$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.65 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 41c | 459.6$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.9 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 452.47$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.18 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Under | 49c | 414.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…bb93backed Under | 48c | 412.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 406.56$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.38 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Over | 51c | 405.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2919…bdadbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ea03backed Under | 50c | 370.44$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 50c | 348$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 43c | 328.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…2f43backed Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 50c | 310$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Under | 50c | 308.74$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae7…0319backed Under | 50c | 281.2$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…6ab9backed Under | 48c | 270.79$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Under | 50c | 270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 48c | 259$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 230 | 58.7%135 W · 95 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…ce53backed Under | 48c | 244.27$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 48c | 228.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa126…9e20backed Under | 50c | 223.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…cee8backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5this page
- Kings vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-15.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.