NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8742f4eafe1abe2dce80f4c2620f7427727c21522a1ab13de9120ac2bcc12ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Kings, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,582,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,656,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,582,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 501 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 14c | 125,774$17,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,608.34 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings | 14c | 49,999$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.8 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 14c | 48,500$6,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,974.93 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kings | 14c | 35,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 15c | 31,418$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.07 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kings | 15c | 31,201$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680.14 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Kings | 16c | 30,649$5,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,007.99 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 16c | 29,232$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,716.5 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Kings | 14c | 25,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.96 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Kings | 14c | 23,245$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.06 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96d…4179backed Kings | 20c | 21,341$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb50…8cbabacked Kings | 1c | 20,377$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kings | 9c | 20,226$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.88 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Kings | 15c | 20,005$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.75 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Kings | 15c | 20,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Kings | 15c | 20,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Kings | 15c | 20,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.99 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kings | 15c | 15,568$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.89 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 16c | 15,200$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 15c | 15,087$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.37 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Kings | 15c | 14,000$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 16c | 12,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Kings | 16c | 11,783$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.99 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings | 14c | 11,077$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.21 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 14c | 11,070$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…964abacked Kings | 14c | 11,068$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 0c | 10,701$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed Kings | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings | 16c | 8,884$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.6 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kings | 17c | 8,700$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.01 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Kings | 13c | 8,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Kings | 15c | 8,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings | 1c | 8,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Kings | 13c | 8,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Kings | 14c | 7,850$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Kings | 14c | 7,637$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.12 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Kings | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d34…5bbbbacked Kings | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Kings | 15c | 6,495$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kings | 17c | 6,363$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.9 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…4588backed Kings | 15c | 6,162$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.3 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…84e6backed Kings | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Kings | 15c | 5,935$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.58 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…abb7backed Kings | 0c | 5,630$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…7fa1backed Kings | 19c | 5,218$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 80c | 4,946$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.2 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 16c | 4,838$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.2 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Kings | 10c | 4,435$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.77 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Kings | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Kings | 12c | 3,923$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.27 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Kings | 14c | 3,669$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.09 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Kings | 13c | 3,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 15c | 3,459$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Kings | 8c | 3,433$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Kings | 15c | 3,400$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Kings | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings | 16c | 3,133$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…1aabbacked Kings | 10c | 3,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Kings | 16c | 3,069$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.07 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Kings | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Kings | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Kings | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…8d15backed Kings | 11c | 3,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Kings | 6c | 3,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 103 | 4.9%5 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Kings | 3c | 2,961$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33b…ff7dbacked Kings | 20c | 2,956$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Kings | 16c | 2,946$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.49 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…5b3ebacked Kings | 13c | 2,804$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.58 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Kings | 15c | 2,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Kings | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 15c | 2,474$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.47 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Kings | 15c | 2,345$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.81 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Kings | 15c | 2,187$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.12 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Kings | 19c | 2,163$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.87 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Kings | 15c | 2,062$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.26 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…c549backed Kings | 15c | 2,020$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.03 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Kings | 18c | 2,004$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.79 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3beb…77d1backed Kings | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…cd8ebacked Kings | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Kings | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Kings | 1c | 1,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 0%0 W · 169 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Kings | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 207 | 28.5%59 W · 148 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Kings | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Kings | 14c | 1,595$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 458 | 38%174 W · 284 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Kings | 19c | 1,590$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.65 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Kings | 17c | 1,589$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.7 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Kings | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kings | 14c | 1,544$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.16 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 1c | 1,538$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Kings | 16c | 1,500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.89 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Kings | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Kings | 14c | 1,451$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…a045backed Kings | 15c | 1,450$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bde…2b4dbacked Kings | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Kings | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 185 | 33%61 W · 124 L | -19.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Kings | 15c | 1,292$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Kings | 19c | 1,238$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Warriorsthis page
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-15.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.