NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c382c2b693c86193e196ed3797287275dc92b9019f56c32a7078a2e14794e53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 110,827$59,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,076.9 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 46c | 89,116$40,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,993.19 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 53c | 28,468$15,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,464.5 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 12,177$5,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,753.13 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…dd8ebacked Over | 51c | 9,980$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…5435backed Under | 49c | 9,980$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 54c | 6,846$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.18 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 6,773$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 5,792$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.24 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 5,023$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Under | 47c | 4,278$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbea3…be9abacked Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 1,889$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 43c | 936$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.48 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 51c | 760$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.4 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 26c | 741$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.91 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 729.44$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 51c | 711.76$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.76 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 679.27$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.88 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 48c | 633$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.84 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 46c | 497$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.67 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 456.81$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.82 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 35c | 443.65$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 54c | 367.16$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 366$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 47c | 342.72$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.08 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 54c | 279$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 47c | 269$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 248.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 33c | 229.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 53c | 220.74$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 46c | 190$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 43c | 181.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Over | 54c | 163.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 46c | 146.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 53c | 145$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 46c | 143.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 47c | 137.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 53c | 136$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…a96dbacked Over | 55c | 116.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 112.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 90.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 54c | 75.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 40c | 70.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 47c | 65.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Over | 53c | 64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Over | 75c | 52.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…ce53backed Under | 47c | 44.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 29c | 44.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeeb…e275backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Over | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0548…9e1cbacked Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 32c | 41.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5701…e344backed Under | 46c | 39.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 39.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Over | 54c | 39.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…bdc9backed Under | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 48c | 36.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5this page
- Kings vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-14.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-15.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.