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NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,277,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,301,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,277,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Rangers49c160,000$78,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,399.7867051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blue Jackets53c140,000$73,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,20048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Rangers47c113,960$53,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,561.2413251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Rangers49c85,613$41,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,950.41,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Blue Jackets51c79,000$40,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,7109548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Blue Jackets52c41,920$21,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,050.818252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rangers47c33,812$15,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,989.9756152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Blue Jackets51c30,853$15,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,117.975046%23 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Blue Jackets51c30,400$15,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,895.985261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Rangers47c25,777$12,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,115.1822443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Blue Jackets53c20,128$10,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,460.0111553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Rangers41c17,408$7,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,125.841850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Rangers45c14,696$6,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,638.7383652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers47c13,020$6,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,119.191,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Blue Jackets51c12,793$6,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,206.4643456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Blue Jackets52c11,893$6,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,745.4861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Rangers53c11,339$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00012835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Blue Jackets52c10,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,749.9266951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Blue Jackets52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.3832151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Blue Jackets53c9,000$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,23015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Rangers50c8,940$4,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,44240356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Blue Jackets51c8,791$4,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,307.5228251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Rangers0c8,723$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.17520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets54c8,552$4,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,915.951,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Blue Jackets58c8,396$4,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.5589355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Rangers29c8,173$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.5139344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets59c8,026$4,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,297.011,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Blue Jackets51c7,497$3,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.61770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Blue Jackets54c6,518$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.533243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jackets51c6,253$3,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,094.762,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Rangers47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8204440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Blue Jackets52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8805552.7%29 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rangers49c6,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.9815145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jackets51c5,841$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.261,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blue Jackets52c5,635$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.721,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Blue Jackets54c5,324$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.9186549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Rangers1c4,914$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1419844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jackets72c4,711$3,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.3289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rangers1c4,456$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8918520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Rangers45c4,252$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.1121549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Blue Jackets53c4,245$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.2828152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jackets51c4,201$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.361,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Blue Jackets54c4,103$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,887.291758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Blue Jackets54c4,074$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.078748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Rangers49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Rangers46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Rangers46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.9622747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rangers47c3,607$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.81,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Blue Jackets51c3,559$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.822365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa464…252dbacked Blue Jackets54c3,107$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.42875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blue Jackets53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Blue Jackets52c2,990$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.385855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rangers48c2,888$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.7579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Blue Jackets54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.7818258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Blue Jackets53c2,726$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.2124847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ec…b146backed Blue Jackets53c2,663$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.31450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Blue Jackets73c2,573$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.0157157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa519…eda4backed Rangers47c2,570$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Blue Jackets51c2,549$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.02850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf953…6673backed Blue Jackets53c2,532$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Rangers45c2,530$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.373661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers6c2,480$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8654418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f89…e938backed Rangers47c2,425$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x289a…7be1backed Blue Jackets53c2,343$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Blue Jackets53c2,337$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.7260249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d11…6096backed Blue Jackets53c2,321$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc08d…c13bbacked Rangers47c2,300$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b76…48d7backed Blue Jackets54c2,284$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Blue Jackets51c2,231$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.8445955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blue Jackets52c2,222$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.5391945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers19c2,167$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.121,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Rangers47c2,043$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9604047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0301…19cabacked Rangers46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jackets53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9401,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46df…e8c4backed Blue Jackets54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5244…e40fbacked Blue Jackets54c1,995$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e45…2f5ebacked Rangers46c1,995$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe317…f312backed Blue Jackets54c1,995$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82fc…2682backed Rangers46c1,995$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.7850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412e…258abacked Blue Jackets54c1,990$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb25…fc5cbacked Rangers46c1,990$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…1c43backed Blue Jackets54c1,990$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+73.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf61f…4c52backed Rangers46c1,990$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…e634backed Blue Jackets54c1,980$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb3f…79eabacked Rangers46c1,980$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c3…5edebacked Rangers46c1,975$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x341d…f709backed Blue Jackets54c1,975$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25b8…1f4dbacked Blue Jackets54c1,975$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7d…82b9backed Rangers46c1,975$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca20…d3ccbacked Blue Jackets54c1,975$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c92…daadbacked Rangers46c1,975$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8295…0e33backed Rangers46c1,975$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5d4…ff98backed Blue Jackets54c1,975$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.5988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x746b…4388backed Rangers46c1,970$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d0…6efcbacked Rangers46c1,970$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick50cpaid+68.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b82…71eabacked Blue Jackets54c1,970$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.27100%7 W · 0 L+3.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x51dd…589fbacked Blue Jackets54c1,970$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+64.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf39…6942backed Rangers46c1,970$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce5…b591backed Blue Jackets54c1,970$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71a6…2727backed Blue Jackets54c1,965$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.