NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x006dcec2eaa90cdf4abc04109afbd597c4a0fd81c5b90aa4db2e6fac0cb6bbbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ac…5befbacked Over | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…3bd8backed Under | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 55c | 7,556$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.63 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Over | 45c | 4,870$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.6 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 56c | 3,102$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.88 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Under | 71c | 2,700$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.06 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 44c | 2,222$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.29 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 2,065$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.95 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 44c | 1,921$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.76 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 75c | 1,918$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.24 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 1,740$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.81 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Under | 12c | 1,389$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 59c | 1,242$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.7 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 56c | 999.99$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.99 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 30c | 976$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.63 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 21c | 593.58$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 580.85$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.02 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 32c | 475.78$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.17 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 55c | 372.71$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 363.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.25 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 29c | 360.1$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.67 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 54c | 313.93$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…e2d7backed Under | 57c | 303.82$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.18 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 57c | 263.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 41c | 234$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 64c | 221.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5db…831cbacked Under | 55c | 182.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b16…40c5backed Over | 47c | 173$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7813…aa39backed Over | 47c | 154$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…9f1fbacked Over | 45c | 145$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…4085backed Over | 45c | 138$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 45c | 133.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfecf…adb6backed Over | 45c | 127$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…c794backed Over | 45c | 127$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…74b3backed Under | 55c | 91.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…bd0ebacked Under | 54c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3038…eba7backed Under | 55c | 67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcef…1896backed Under | 53c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…0953backed Under | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Under | 56c | 53.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 39c | 51.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…f31abacked Under | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…589cbacked Under | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ef…5831backed Under | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…c286backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 29c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…340ebacked Under | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…30e7backed Under | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…f6e4backed Over | 47c | 43.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf92…21ccbacked Under | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…4019backed Under | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Under | 55c | 33.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 32.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ed…93aabacked Under | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 44c | 28.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…4489backed Under | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b00…2b54backed Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc977…5be8backed Under | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 26.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Under | 56c | 25.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…8578backed Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…9a65backed Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…c5c7backed Under | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab5d…e284backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…dc4fbacked Under | 57c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 76c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. RangersBlue Jackets won
- Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.