NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae06272fdbb19a46d1a2bbfd86ed344cd9fd926fae570eb77d4c56cf1a2ef401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 53c | 2,896$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.12 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 2,444$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.24 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 47c | 2,269$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.43 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 2,001$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.34 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 72c | 527.87$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.07 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 444.54$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 54c | 385$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 22c | 354.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 45c | 342.79$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 294.73$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.49 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 51c | 260.46$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 38c | 211.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 195.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 55c | 181.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 167.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 43c | 127$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 114.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 45c | 106.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 65c | 78.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 73.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 63c | 50.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 47c | 42.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 63c | 42.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 34c | 38.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 38.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 57c | 30.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 47c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. RangersBlue Jackets won
- Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.