NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c0813a3689019af7f055a56eaf834dafc73a1b5a8973111dfa81dc791114816
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Blue Jackets, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Rangers | 70c | 5,316$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.93 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Blue Jackets | 31c | 3,397$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 3,333$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 1,620$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.54 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Rangers | 66c | 1,543$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.94 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rangers | 68c | 1,100$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Rangers | 69c | 942.99$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.16 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 797.57$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.17 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Blue Jackets | 29c | 672.24$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rangers | 71c | 603$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.87 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 426$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rangers | 65c | 248.67$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 232.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Blue Jackets | 31c | 225.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 221.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 213$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Rangers | 58c | 208.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Rangers | 69c | 181.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Blue Jackets | 45c | 177.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Rangers | 68c | 175.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Rangers | 70c | 171.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rangers | 67c | 154.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 75c | 152$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 150.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8063backed Rangers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Rangers | 69c | 131.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Blue Jackets | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Rangers | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Rangers | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Rangers | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Rangers | 69c | 98.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rangers | 68c | 87.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Blue Jackets | 60c | 87.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Rangers | 70c | 72.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets | 29c | 65.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rangers | 71c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rangers | 68c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Rangers | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Rangers | 61c | 44.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Rangers | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…6639backed Rangers | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Blue Jackets | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…78b0backed Rangers | 70c | 39.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Rangers | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Rangers | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Blue Jackets | 80c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Rangers | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Rangers | 62c | 21.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Blue Jackets | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Rangers | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Blue Jackets | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Blue Jackets | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jackets vs. RangersBlue Jackets won
- Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.