NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccc3172373c5b979785eae70e880a3c2764d63669217a81a52380db47e7cb9d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $458,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $464,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $458,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Senators | 55c | 118,000$65,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,650 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 99,290$44,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,680.7 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 90,424$39,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,786.77 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Senators | 55c | 66,584$36,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,964.83 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 39,170$17,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,626.58 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Senators | 56c | 31,250$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 10,288$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,629.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Maple Leafs | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 309 | 51.1%158 W · 151 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Senators | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.95 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Senators | 68c | 9,520$6,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.33 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Senators | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.97 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Senators | 53c | 7,477$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.3 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 7,402$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.72 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Maple Leafs | 16c | 6,961$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.42 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Senators | 55c | 6,062$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.86 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Senators | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.93 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Senators | 55c | 4,954$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.19 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 52c | 4,470$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.71 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Senators | 56c | 4,166$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.07 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,932$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.29 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 3,904$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.07 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 3,671$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.08 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Senators | 55c | 3,575$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.7 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Senators | 56c | 3,567$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.67 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 55c | 3,560$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.93 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,285$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.73 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 52c | 3,219$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.7 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Maple Leafs | 0c | 3,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 3,081$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.71 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Senators | 47c | 3,064$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.93 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…b392backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 2,743$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Senators | 57c | 2,736$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.22 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Senators | 52c | 2,725$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.91 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 56c | 2,705$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.43 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Senators | 56c | 2,650$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2414…25a2backed Senators | 55c | 2,533$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Senators | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc7…fa1ebacked Senators | 55c | 2,465$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Senators | 55c | 2,400$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.28 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Maple Leafs | 4c | 2,352$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Maple Leafs | 21c | 2,309$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.46 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Senators | 56c | 2,277$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c7…69c9backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 2,254$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,189$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.13 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e2…c881backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,106$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Senators | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc012…e276backed Senators | 56c | 1,986$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.8 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,850$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.5 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,843$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…b0b6backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,774$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.02 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,651$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.61 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,632$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.36 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…681abacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Senators | 55c | 1,550$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.5 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Senators | 52c | 1,542$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.65 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,500$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa464…252dbacked Senators | 56c | 1,453$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 1,295$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…aca0backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Maple Leafs | 2c | 1,186$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…37a5backed Senators | 53c | 1,165$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83c…4f52backed Senators | 53c | 1,155$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…734cbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,120$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,063$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.81 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 992.92$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.6 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 951.11$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Senators | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 852.17$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.43 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Senators | 49c | 804.79$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.32 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Senators | 56c | 792.86$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.86 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 787.5$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ec…2299backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 729.07$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…3a71backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 720.51$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…e7bbbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 665.81$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…54f4backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 641.25$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Senators | 54c | 635.82$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.85 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 632.1$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.42 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…e838backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 619.78$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 612.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Senators | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…10f2backed Senators | 56c | 595.55$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Senators | 54c | 586.5$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.66 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 585.83$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.49 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 582.28$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.85 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Senators | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 540$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Senators vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Senators vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Senators won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.