Bundesliga · resolved market
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d582f1498639b2df694e2a1f53e5575fb07a284f9586889ee1dd4bdce578002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 46c | 10,755$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.35 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 6,757$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.71 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 4,233$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.21 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 3,683$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 2,774$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.9 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 48c | 2,488$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 2,426$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.37 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 46c | 2,101$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 54c | 1,653$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.42 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 44c | 1,283$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked No | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 52c | 933.84$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 616.88$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.2 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked No | 56c | 566.06$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 47c | 543.84$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 58c | 487.4$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.71 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.19 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Yes | 44c | 307.35$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed No | 54c | 268.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 54c | 268.38$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 42c | 236.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 46c | 212.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 208.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 52c | 188.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 52c | 187.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 51c | 143.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked No | 37c | 133.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 34c | 133.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed Yes | 52c | 124.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked No | 54c | 117.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked No | 33c | 110.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 70c | 108.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 43c | 101.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes | 43c | 99.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 93.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 86.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 52c | 84.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 53c | 82.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 57c | 75.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 75.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 26c | 71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Yes | 46c | 69.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 44c | 67.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 46c | 66.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 58c | 66.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 58c | 66.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 58c | 66.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 58c | 66.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed No | 54c | 65.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 45c | 63.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 54c | 61.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f71…9a06backed Yes | 46c | 58.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 58c | 56.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 58c | 56.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 58c | 56.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 58c | 56.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 44c | 51.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 64c | 48.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 54c | 42.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 43c | 36.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed No | 54c | 35.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 63c | 35.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked No | 55c | 35.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 54c | 34.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed No | 55c | 31.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 49c | 31.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…1530backed No | 54c | 30.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 43c | 29.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…c637backed No | 54c | 27.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 56c | 26.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 52c | 26.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…cc49backed Yes | 42c | 26.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…d7d8backed No | 47c | 24.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 46c | 24.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 46c | 24.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Yes | 44c | 24.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 46c | 24.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed No | 62c | 23.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 65c | 23.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 57c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…b584backed No | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 55c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 55c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 55c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-04-10?this page
- Will Karlsruher SC vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?No won
- Will Karlsruher SC win on 2026-04-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.