NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe32fd6f2dd3dcefd17cdfee49ba5675fa1445fbf05a55d0aa29f2117de50d146
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Thunder, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $574,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $581,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $574,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Thunder | 49c | 295,420$144,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,755.85 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 51c | 194,957$99,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,317.61 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Thunder | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,399.98 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Thunder | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 49c | 39,322$19,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,267.6 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks | 51c | 30,458$15,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,924.54 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Thunder | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,699.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Mavericks | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607.84 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Thunder | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 51c | 9,813$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,808.23 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6990…6185backed Thunder | 50c | 8,382$4,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,191 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 51c | 8,269$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Thunder | 50c | 8,090$4,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,044.79 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 51c | 7,993$4,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Mavericks | 51c | 7,682$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.35 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 7,212$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.53 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks | 52c | 6,596$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.08 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Thunder | 46c | 6,386$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.51 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Thunder | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Thunder | 48c | 5,011$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.08 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Mavericks | 54c | 4,644$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.96 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 60c | 4,280$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.75 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 30c | 4,214$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Thunder | 46c | 3,739$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.94 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Mavericks | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Mavericks | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Mavericks | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Mavericks | 60c | 2,959$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.66 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 47c | 2,810$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.7 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Thunder | 48c | 2,750$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,275$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.51 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 2,226$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.27 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Mavericks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 49c | 1,838$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 46c | 1,779$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Thunder | 49c | 1,475$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.64 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,346$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.74 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 51c | 1,103$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.45 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Thunder | 63c | 1,102$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.38 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Thunder | 58c | 831.49$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.36 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Thunder | 50c | 624$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…1232backed Thunder | 48c | 618.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks | 52c | 600.27$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.01 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Mavericks | 52c | 552.82$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.42 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dd…a4e3backed Mavericks | 43c | 460.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.87 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Mavericks | 51c | 458$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.42 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Thunder | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Mavericks | 47c | 380.11$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.11 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 51c | 373.16$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.13 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Thunder | 59c | 360.59$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.22 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Thunder | 49c | 359.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.89 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 54c | 336.09$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Mavericks | 52c | 294.82$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.93 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Thunder | 63c | 254.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 271 | 62.4%169 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 50c | 239.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Mavericks | 63c | 228.03$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mavericks | 44c | 225.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.18 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Mavericks | 52c | 224.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Thunder | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Mavericks | 53c | 206.22$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Mavericks | 52c | 206.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Mavericks | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…5033backed Thunder | 51c | 196.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Mavericks | 52c | 194.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Mavericks | 54c | 182.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Mavericks | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Mavericks | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Mavericks | 52c | 149$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 46c | 134.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Mavericks | 55c | 132.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks | 52c | 124.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 46c | 120.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Mavericks | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Mavericks | 38c | 117.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…c0bbbacked Mavericks | 52c | 106.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Thunder | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Thunder | 49c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Thunder | 49c | 101.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Thunder | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Mavericks | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Thunder | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Mavericks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 45c | 97.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Mavericks | 52c | 95.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Thunder | 48c | 90.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…51d6backed Thunder | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Mavericks | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Mavericks | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Mavericks | 56c | 71.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Mavericks | 55c | 66.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…82c6backed Mavericks | 52c | 66.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Mavericks | 53c | 64.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…fa37backed Mavericks | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Thunder | 54c | 55.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Mavericks | 36c | 53.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)this page
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Mavericks won
- Thunder vs. MavericksThunder won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.