NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99bb60c2721967f8c4d6dafb2a2ce5e029f5782365a30a32aa53bdd1348f1639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Thunder, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Mavericks | 51c | 72,385$36,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,519.13 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Mavericks | 47c | 70,463$33,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,263.46 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Thunder | 53c | 60,586$32,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,110.78 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 47c | 26,823$12,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,167.81 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Thunder | 54c | 18,649$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Thunder | 52c | 11,520$5,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,990.4 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 50c | 11,227$5,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,636 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 46c | 10,828$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.47 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Thunder | 49c | 9,984$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892.16 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 48c | 7,406$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.25 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Thunder | 52c | 6,000$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Thunder | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 5,353$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Thunder | 49c | 5,031$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 4,461$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Thunder | 49c | 4,384$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Thunder | 53c | 4,273$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.93 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Mavericks | 49c | 4,092$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.93 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 53c | 4,000$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.35 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 52c | 3,908$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.65 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d6…7832backed Thunder | 49c | 3,665$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Thunder | 49c | 3,548$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.29 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Thunder | 51c | 3,033$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.83 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,861$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.9 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Thunder | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.87 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Thunder | 49c | 2,809$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.2 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 50c | 2,686$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 8c | 2,284$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Thunder | 49c | 2,224$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.76 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Thunder | 53c | 1,909$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.94 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f8…fe4dbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,901$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Thunder | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,843$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.58 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 50c | 1,695$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Thunder | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Thunder | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 52c | 1,296$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.52 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.81 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 49c | 1,266$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.25 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder | 49c | 1,184$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.16 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…184dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Thunder | 59c | 1,036$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.88 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Thunder | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Mavericks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Thunder | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Thunder | 52c | 954.72$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks | 44c | 871.94$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.28 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Thunder | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 49c | 834.69$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.2 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks | 49c | 814.75$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.62 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ba…fa25backed Mavericks | 49c | 799$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Mavericks | 44c | 720.88$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.63 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 47c | 681.64$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.73 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Thunder | 49c | 640$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 600.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.65 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Thunder | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 58c | 564$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.56 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Thunder | 53c | 543.4$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 52c | 541.25$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.27 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Thunder | 53c | 537.74$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…51d6backed Thunder | 60c | 519.5$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Thunder | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Thunder | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Thunder | 53c | 499.97$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 45c | 489.9$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.45 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Thunder | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Mavericks | 48c | 461.53$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mavericks | 47c | 403$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.59 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Thunder | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Thunder | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 49c | 398.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.56 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder | 54c | 378.54$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.9 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Thunder | 53c | 377$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Thunder | 49c | 315.08$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Thunder | 49c | 282.45$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Thunder | 66c | 281.82$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.23 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Mavericks | 50c | 272.38$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.23 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Thunder | 53c | 253.26$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.23 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks | 40c | 244.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Mavericks | 51c | 235.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Mavericks | 47c | 223$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Thunder | 52c | 222$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Thunder | 51c | 218.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 49c | 213$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks | 46c | 212.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Mavericks | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Mavericks | 51c | 206.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Mavericks | 51c | 200.01$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Thunder | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Thunder | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Thunder | 53c | 198$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 194.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Mavericks | 52c | 193.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Thunder | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Thunder | 54c | 185.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)this page
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Mavericks won
- Thunder vs. MavericksThunder won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.