NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b6ec5de14f6ead2c0a547f230e241cd8835ecc570b3ecc1270329af53593ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $699,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $701,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $699,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 470,630$246,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246,779.17 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 199,971$95,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,984.86 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 100,000$47,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,300 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 47c | 93,709$44,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,665.87 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 54c | 88,291$47,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,393.99 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 82,736$38,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,378.89 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 52c | 49,406$25,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,742.67 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 23,185$10,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,205.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,833.33 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 11,897$5,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,165.55 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 7,747$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.1 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 5,760$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 53c | 5,258$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.74 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 48c | 5,219$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.75 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Under | 47c | 5,200$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 62c | 4,460$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.52 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 48c | 3,285$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.2 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 48c | 3,250$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Under | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 1,854$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.65 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Under | 47c | 1,760$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under | 47c | 1,574$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.47 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 48c | 1,545$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.4 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked Under | 48c | 1,465$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.72 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 47c | 1,383$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.97 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 54c | 1,303$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.62 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 46c | 1,303$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.82 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 912.64$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.82 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 690.42$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.83 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 561.12$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 51c | 492.48$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.97 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Under | 47c | 477.28$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 52c | 446.04$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.17 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…85debacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…8fc6backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 48c | 102.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 47c | 96.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 47c | 86.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 48c | 78.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 47c | 70.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d69…01aebacked Over | 52c | 66.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 47c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Over | 52c | 57.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Under | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Under | 49c | 37.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…fed6backed Over | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…e608backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Under | 53c | 30.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…95c1backed Over | 53c | 30.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 47c | 27.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Under | 49c | 26.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 48c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Over | 49c | 22.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 60c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5this page
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Mavericks won
- Thunder vs. MavericksThunder won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.