NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Mavericks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dbfa21016a7ab2ddff508ca194550e9b8c0833e90c42b76dcdc1df9a8068645

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Mavericks
Resolved: Mar 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,367,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,471,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,367,038 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Mavericks	10c	480,602$48,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,060.18	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Mavericks	10c	135,499$13,395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,394.93	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks	10c	126,820$12,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,682.03	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Mavericks	11c	80,000$8,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,799.97	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Mavericks	10c	65,084$6,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,388.37	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Mavericks	10c	50,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.98	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks	3c	40,168$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,371.54	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks	7c	38,188$2,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,586.05	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks	9c	35,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Mavericks	10c	34,575$3,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,457.46	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mavericks	5c	33,695$1,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,709.42	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Mavericks	3c	32,360$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.33	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Mavericks	0c	27,900$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks	7c	26,309$1,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,736.31	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Mavericks	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks	4c	20,178$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.62	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks	10c	20,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mavericks	3c	16,759$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.18	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks	5c	16,160$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.74	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks	6c	12,409$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.75	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Mavericks	10c	11,950$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Mavericks	10c	11,696$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169.58	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Mavericks	11c	10,302$1,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.22	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Mavericks	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Mavericks	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks	6c	9,935$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.82	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Mavericks	11c	9,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks	8c	8,734$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.26	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks	10c	8,325$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.19	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Mavericks	12c	8,206$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.71	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Mavericks	11c	8,145$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Mavericks	11c	7,273$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks	11c	7,081$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$758.58	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Mavericks	11c	6,727$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.02	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks	7c	6,582$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.57	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Mavericks	9c	6,095$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Mavericks	2c	5,898$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.39	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks	6c	5,501$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.06	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks	9c	5,463$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.32	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Mavericks	5c	5,333$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.65	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks	0c	5,267$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Mavericks	0c	5,231$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks	5c	5,065$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.25	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Mavericks	11c	5,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.28	259	47.5%123 W · 136 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Mavericks	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Mavericks	4c	4,700$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.18	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Mavericks	12c	4,002$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.24	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks	4c	4,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Mavericks	11c	3,856$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.19	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd665…ecc8backed Mavericks	2c	3,544$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…9d04backed Mavericks	11c	3,116$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…ea3ebacked Mavericks	7c	3,019$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0623…42d8backed Mavericks	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Mavericks	11c	2,730$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.3	103	42.7%44 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Mavericks	11c	2,727$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	209	45.5%95 W · 114 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mavericks	11c	2,510$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.42	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks	11c	2,500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mavericks	11c	2,405$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.66	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks	2c	2,396$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.77	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Mavericks	3c	2,222$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.66	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Mavericks	12c	2,099$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.88	469	40.3%189 W · 280 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Mavericks	6c	2,029$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	70	18.6%13 W · 57 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Mavericks	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	96	28.1%27 W · 69 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Mavericks	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c2…39edbacked Mavericks	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	106	35.8%38 W · 68 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Mavericks	4c	1,957$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.08	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…ac40backed Mavericks	11c	1,905$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.58	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Mavericks	11c	1,835$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.85	147	38.1%56 W · 91 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks	2c	1,764$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.88	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Mavericks	6c	1,507$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.62	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Mavericks	11c	1,500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a80…8c5ebacked Mavericks	11c	1,455$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Mavericks	4c	1,453$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.14	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e4…c4c0backed Mavericks	7c	1,435$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.3	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…e235backed Mavericks	11c	1,434$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Mavericks	11c	1,400$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Mavericks	12c	1,374$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.46	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Mavericks	10c	1,274$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.43	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf681…f265backed Mavericks	4c	1,263$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Mavericks	13c	1,198$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.55	228	57.5%131 W · 97 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Mavericks	11c	1,091$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Mavericks	11c	1,091$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Mavericks	5c	1,042$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	241	47.7%115 W · 126 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mavericks	5c	1,026$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.22	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks	10c	1,001$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.19	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Mavericks	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…8bb7backed Mavericks	10c	979.76$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Mavericks	11c	954.55$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	217	43.8%95 W · 122 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Mavericks	10c	954.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	140	53.6%75 W · 65 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70dd…a4e3backed Mavericks	6c	934.33$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks	7c	914.77$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.5	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Mavericks	12c	860.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	231	43.3%100 W · 131 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fc3…93e9backed Mavericks	2c	839.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks	2c	813.44$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.27	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Mavericks	11c	800$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	156	35.3%55 W · 101 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Mavericks	10c	800$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…c19fbacked Mavericks	11c	765$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.15	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Mavericks	3c	755.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	194	19.1%37 W · 157 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed Mavericks	11c	749.98$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Mavericks	5c	749.97$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	96	18.8%18 W · 78 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Thunder vs. Mavericksthis page
Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 10.5No won
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5No won
Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Mavericks won
Thunder vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
Thunder vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Under won
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Under won
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Under won
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Under won
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Under won
Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Thunder vs. Mavericks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event