TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof 3DMAX, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$411,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$493,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked 3DMAX34c31,620$10,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,805.173,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Astralis63c28,871$18,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,822.1476058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed 3DMAX28c24,910$7,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,098.8167041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked 3DMAX28c23,466$6,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,639.8930726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX37c13,741$5,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,039.2281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Astralis72c12,809$9,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.4421048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX34c10,401$3,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,524.036,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Astralis71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.9975450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Astralis71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.9937157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x246b…fb5bbacked Astralis75c9,996$7,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.033762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Astralis58c7,282$4,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,035.4133452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked 3DMAX29c6,985$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.5722927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked 3DMAX12c6,544$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.2832552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Astralis72c6,223$4,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.5520448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed 3DMAX46c5,255$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.6312571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Astralis70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5008862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Astralis67c4,996$3,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.99746.4%45 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 3DMAX39c4,810$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.122,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Astralis70c4,528$3,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.3472453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55af…0715backed Astralis72c4,318$3,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.371872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 3DMAX33c4,248$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.75,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked 3DMAX34c4,245$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.2524538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed 3DMAX52c3,757$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.112425%6 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Astralis54c3,707$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.1910748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked 3DMAX33c3,636$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.941,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX40c3,635$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.383,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked 3DMAX29c3,351$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.7616447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed 3DMAX29c3,265$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.898032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Astralis72c3,234$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.7364852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Astralis72c3,211$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.183158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 3DMAX29c3,113$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.6378639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed 3DMAX28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed 3DMAX8c2,953$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.232653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked 3DMAX30c2,808$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.4829235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Astralis75c2,718$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.167755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Astralis67c2,700$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89114954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Astralis74c2,661$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.819355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b97…4d93backed Astralis57c2,555$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.388151.9%42 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed 3DMAX28c2,359$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.3264552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 3DMAX31c2,257$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.3287047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 3DMAX30c2,231$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.842,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 3DMAX43c2,210$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.731,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Astralis66c2,172$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.1678963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Astralis73c2,144$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.2725555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed 3DMAX29c2,094$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.7997040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…90d0backed Astralis71c1,824$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.911471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Astralis52c1,750$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84020554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed 3DMAX27c1,750$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.513044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Astralis72c1,742$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.1545058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed 3DMAX29c1,736$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.6211247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked 3DMAX36c1,596$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.3919540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed 3DMAX43c1,591$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.5149646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Astralis55c1,553$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.6381751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Astralis56c1,545$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.4714144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x320c…2d7abacked Astralis72c1,526$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.321163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis53c1,419$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.5975245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed Astralis72c1,376$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.415543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Astralis72c1,366$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.452965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Astralis50c1,364$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68210133.7%34 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Astralis72c1,346$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9757358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Astralis80c1,272$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.941,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed 3DMAX33c1,243$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.2560848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Astralis63c1,229$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.8651252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked 3DMAX33c1,189$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.5211947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked 3DMAX30c1,185$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.4215637.2%58 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 3DMAX29c1,158$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9598052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Astralis72c1,092$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8827452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked 3DMAX49c1,081$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.245267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked 3DMAX31c1,032$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.222748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 3DMAX29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Astralis55c933.04$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.2531451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cad…6ce4backed Astralis79c925.03$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Astralis71c904.75$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3853746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e76…05aabacked Astralis67c882.49$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.222572%18 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed 3DMAX50c879.07$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.5449941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Astralis56c869.29$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.4917053.5%91 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Astralis72c839.82$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.151,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Astralis71c831.03$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.8444648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed 3DMAX28c782.53$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1125248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Astralis52c776.96$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9448437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Astralis69c765.59$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7227658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8bb…1c4bbacked Astralis56c750$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.53658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 3DMAX28c739.2$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.971,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked 3DMAX26c735.66$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.067425.7%19 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf90d…db1fbacked Astralis70c734.98$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX35c714.84$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.647,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Astralis69c708.31$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.5812557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed 3DMAX20c707.32$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3561837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Astralis65c685.62$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8939237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Astralis72c685.1$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8334146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e67…e2e6backed Astralis58c675.17$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.314766%31 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed 3DMAX29c660.28$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4836554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed 3DMAX32c646.86$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.0757322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…2ea8backed Astralis60c630.37$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.781764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Astralis60c624.48$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8216947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc110…f3eabacked Astralis72c613.13$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6810156.4%57 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Astralis65c603.68$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3315544.5%69 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Astralis54c599.94$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.9731444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc19e…c764backed Astralis56c593.9$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.312751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Astralis49c587.92$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.0134156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.