CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88335e4c2870fa7cf5d9b5f2b7526bd2af8766ea79d71d84e8106c6107bdfac5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 8,642$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.48 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 54c | 7,439$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,389.74 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 70c | 6,214$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.46 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…997abacked Over | 46c | 5,783$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 53c | 2,706$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.32 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 47c | 1,229$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.63 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Under | 53c | 1,113$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.97 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over | 46c | 859.23$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.25 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 71c | 844.28$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.93 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Over | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 29c | 556.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 30c | 420$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.58 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Over | 45c | 394.18$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Under | 64c | 357.73$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 47c | 288.81$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.74 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Over | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 27c | 246.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…063cbacked Under | 63c | 220.09$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 52c | 168.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Under | 55c | 167.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ac15backed Under | 66c | 149.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 69c | 146.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 138.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 33c | 132.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Under | 66c | 118.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 45cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 50c | 98.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 65c | 88.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Over | 51c | 87.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 56c | 87.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 57c | 82.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x525d…1f1bbacked Under | 58c | 71.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 48c | 70.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…9df8backed Over | 34c | 67.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…b48bbacked Over | 46c | 64.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5717…58b4backed Over | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 47c | 62.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Over | 57c | 62.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Under | 55c | 52.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Under | 60c | 49.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Over | 61c | 48.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Under | 57c | 47.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf234…90a8backed Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…0485backed Over | 31c | 45.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 45.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…32b5backed Under | 64c | 39.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…c7b8backed Under | 57c | 33.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 43c | 32.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…405abacked Over | 46c | 31.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…27f3backed Under | 55c | 30.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f3…9dc7backed Over | 47c | 29.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 45c | 27.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 53c | 27.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…ba0bbacked Over | 48c | 21.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.6wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 64c | 16.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 74c | 13.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.