TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof Astralis, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,019 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX42c9,989$4,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,184.813,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX58c8,932$5,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,188.681843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadf4…997abacked Astralis41c5,797$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,420.47955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Astralis42c5,490$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.0514144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed 3DMAX60c5,083$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.5831345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Astralis40c4,464$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.1235850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51cc…a4e2backed Astralis52c4,064$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.11580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed 3DMAX58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec6…a2f1backed Astralis40c3,992$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.95650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked 3DMAX59c2,735$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.5984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Astralis56c2,077$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.351741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Astralis42c2,049$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.2457358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed 3DMAX58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1601,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Astralis53c2,000$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9629858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Astralis65c1,786$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.9133452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed Astralis43c1,466$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.289256.5%52 W · 40 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x341f…b48bbacked 3DMAX50c1,297$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.473243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Astralis41c1,255$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.629839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed 3DMAX61c1,222$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.4560248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed 3DMAX58c1,200$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.9846749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 3DMAX44c1,145$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.412,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed 3DMAX59c1,007$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.0236742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Astralis54c960.76$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.4714362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Astralis41c851.94$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.561,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Astralis42c827.31$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.8461338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked 3DMAX59c826.61$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.717357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed 3DMAX25c788.56$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1420251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX59c776.98$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.421,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Astralis41c705.8$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.4214044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Astralis44c665.43$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.5839157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked 3DMAX40c581.99$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9415732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed 3DMAX53c551.38$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.5710753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed 3DMAX59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29517840.4%72 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed 3DMAX60c488$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.818752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed Astralis42c465.6$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.1125446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x766c…bb56backed 3DMAX59c413.31$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.857245.8%33 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Astralis46c403.87$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.095358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Astralis70c399.9$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9736749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Astralis41c385.84$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6511148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Astralis40c375.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0722045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed 3DMAX59c365.36$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.568032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Astralis39c355.95$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0347147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ddc…6796backed 3DMAX43c347.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed 3DMAX60c325.33$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.225248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed 3DMAX57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17150947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked 3DMAX65c299.3$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8525655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3e…5329backed Astralis39c292.87$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.657354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed 3DMAX60c280.6$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.366426.6%17 W · 47 L-12.3wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked 3DMAX60c272.97$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7840655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed 3DMAX36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.163342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3375…ba50backed Astralis61c266.97$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.148063.8%51 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 3DMAX53c261.35$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.12,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Astralis41c235.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8113553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Astralis41c235.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8136450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Astralis42c229.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2918748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Astralis42c229.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2912557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6a…189bbacked Astralis42c229.58$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.166460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed 3DMAX60c211.47$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8845244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked 3DMAX30c208.72$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.615747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Astralis40c208.15$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9338848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab05…52e9backed Astralis39c200.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.339654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Astralis39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12238650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed 3DMAX59c199.96$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9838954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe262…4097backed Astralis69c192$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.524537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 3DMAX28c191.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5798052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Astralis42c176.95$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6328541.1%117 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 3DMAX36c163.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.62,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Astralis40c159.52$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9950340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Astralis63c156.26$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.57561.3%46 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Astralis41c149$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9113049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Astralis67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2861754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Astralis39c145.71$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8832042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed Astralis42c137.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9714853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Astralis42c126.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3115363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Astralis65c102.42$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8518061.7%111 W · 69 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked Astralis48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3818541.6%77 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Astralis45c96.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.191428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked 3DMAX36c96.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.622650%13 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Astralis42c86.87$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.381,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c64…929abacked 3DMAX44c74.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.073246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc7…9194backed Astralis40c65.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.479251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed 3DMAX60c65.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0420145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07cc…b2e6backed Astralis72c62.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.662050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked Astralis46c60.21$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.747146.7%220 W · 251 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Astralis43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.218759.4%111 W · 76 L+15.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Astralis49c59.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5541848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea89…476abacked Astralis57c59.35$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2412248.4%59 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed 3DMAX57c57.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0114447.9%69 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Astralis40c57.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6210154.5%55 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Astralis42c57.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3223234.9%81 W · 151 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed 3DMAX58c50.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2425352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Astralis72c49.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7623354.5%127 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed 3DMAX60c48.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2821263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed 3DMAX60c48.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.281,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Astralis41c48.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4648845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…9f19backed Astralis40c48.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9211350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ff…b4dabacked Astralis41c47.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.763767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a7…3165backed Astralis41c47.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.761361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Astralis55c46.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8434742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.