NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb395a0733eb99fcfd0ddef2031a233406e9fb06e74299abbc18c5d4321878a70

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Nuggets, Jazz
Resolved: Mar 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $115,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $118,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,089 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz	46c	28,040$12,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,103.64	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Nuggets	57c	22,691$13,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,000	153	55.6%85 W · 68 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets	54c	18,519$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Nuggets	54c	16,555$8,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,999.25	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	43c	11,984$5,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,803.07	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz	44c	8,128$3,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,517.86	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets	27c	5,964$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632.43	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Jazz	46c	4,000$1,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,160	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz	46c	3,672$1,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,982.86	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Nuggets	54c	2,489$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,343.81	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz	46c	2,453$1,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,335.34	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Jazz	44c	2,345$1,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,313.2	214	46.7%100 W · 114 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Nuggets	56c	2,222$1,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,238.97	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz	44c	2,000$889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.3	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Jazz	60c	1,740$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.56	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2206…49d6backed Nuggets	57c	1,579$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets	54c	1,388$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.52	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz	44c	1,119$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.29	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167d…cf09backed Jazz	73c	1,103$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.21	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	60cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz	46c	1,058$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.32	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Jazz	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets	36c	908.61$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.39	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets	57c	900$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Jazz	44c	797.73$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.73	151	41.1%62 W · 89 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Jazz	45c	780.07$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.04	171	44.4%76 W · 95 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Jazz	43c	764.43$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.96	184	38.6%71 W · 113 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz	44c	729$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.24	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Nuggets	60c	661.5$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	348	52.3%182 W · 166 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Jazz	46c	600$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Nuggets	54c	555.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz	53c	541.2$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.19	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Nuggets	57c	526.89$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	84	50%42 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Nuggets	22c	485.16$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	163	35.6%58 W · 105 L	-12.2wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz	44c	435.95$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.03	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Jazz	47c	426.99$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.81	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Nuggets	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	139	51.1%71 W · 68 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Nuggets	56c	400$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Nuggets	46c	391.3$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Nuggets	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	201	47.8%96 W · 105 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed Jazz	46c	365.01$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.71	118	50%59 W · 59 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz	44c	354.11$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.78	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz	58c	353.09$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.98	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Nuggets	57c	348.63$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.02	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Jazz	46c	305.39$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.91	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Nuggets	57c	300$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	112	45.5%51 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz	45c	299.99$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.99	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz	54c	294.81$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.22	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Jazz	62c	289.99$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.2	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Nuggets	57c	283.74$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Jazz	57c	275.74$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.66	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Nuggets	56c	267.86$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	113	58.4%66 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Nuggets	56c	265.81$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	117	54.7%64 W · 53 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Nuggets	57c	263.77$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Jazz	70c	250.86$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.73	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Jazz	64c	240$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.4	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Nuggets	43c	225.74$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.07	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz	50c	214.58$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.98	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Jazz	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Jazz	68c	200$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bae…f1a0backed Nuggets	51c	196.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Nuggets	51c	194.96$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	143	44.1%63 W · 80 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Jazz	45c	178.59$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.22	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Nuggets	41c	173.9$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.14	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Jazz	47c	173$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.69	114	51.8%59 W · 55 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Nuggets	53c	160$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.8	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz	43c	157.72$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.22	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Jazz	63c	155.14$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.07	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Jazz	45c	155.09$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.85	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb975…e19abacked Nuggets	46c	153.81$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd506…4f0ebacked Jazz	60c	144.15$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jazz	45c	143.57$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.58	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Nuggets	56c	142.86$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Nuggets	48c	140.72$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	167	25.7%43 W · 124 L	-12.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets	43c	139.79$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.94	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Jazz	43c	135.88$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.12	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Jazz	66c	131.35$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.66	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Nuggets	23c	128.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.95	106	37.7%40 W · 66 L	+9.3wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a13…271dbacked Nuggets	58c	120.69$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Nuggets	42c	120$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	378	50.3%190 W · 188 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Nuggets	55c	110.09$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.55	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Jazz	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Nuggets	57c	104.53$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	109	55%60 W · 49 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Jazz	47c	104.17$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.21	233	49.4%115 W · 118 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Nuggets	68c	103.4$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.82	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Nuggets	55c	100.8$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	364	53%193 W · 171 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Nuggets	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b7…be96backed Jazz	46c	98.33$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.1	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Nuggets	55c	96.58$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.12	64	65.6%42 W · 22 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Nuggets	52c	96.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	311	51.1%159 W · 152 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jazz	43c	94.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.44	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Nuggets	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	298	44%131 W · 167 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Nuggets	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Nuggets	57c	88.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Nuggets	40c	87.93$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Nuggets	51c	85.57$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.74	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nuggets	38c	83.27$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.88	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Nuggets	36c	79.14$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	667	32.4%216 W · 451 L	+41.8wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Jazz	46c	76.35$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.23	340	47.1%160 W · 180 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Jazz	46c	76.35$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.23	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Jazz	62c	75.05$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.86	178	44.4%79 W · 99 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Jazz won
Ace Bailey: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5No won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Julian Strawther: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Keyonte George: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Nuggets vs. JazzNuggets won
Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Over won
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Jazz won
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Jazz won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event