TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under54c6,994$3,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,776.7643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c4,307$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.896,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c3,693$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.569,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c3,534$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.12,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Over46c2,323$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.4221446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c1,542$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.283,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over50c1,524$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Under52c1,466$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.5834855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Under45c1,226$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.454522.2%10 W · 35 L-10.8wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-58.2%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c1,210$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.924,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over45c1,130$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.51,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c1,054$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.264,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd744…526fbacked Under56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5604443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over47c986.4$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.7912745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…62e6backed Under57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over59c823.08$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.2267921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c790.93$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over68c759.31$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.962,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed56…3e62backed Over49c686$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x048e…1ce4backed Over49c686$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8270…e56abacked Over49c668$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada8…b3c7backed Under51c650$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a6…ee5ebacked Under51c640$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4cd…bea6backed Under51c620$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d7…5895backed Under51c620$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c563.54$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.041,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa652…0b79backed Under51c555$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f1…2eedbacked Under51c550$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over43c546.29$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.093,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ba…8036backed Over49c542$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over50c478.81$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.4618438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6c6…f016backed Over49c459$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a3…8278backed Under48c433.33$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2083351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…7525backed Over49c419$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over44c390.37$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.72,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over44c320$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15922746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over49c287.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.73,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2720…7a59backed Under30c274.49$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.55812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over50c258.6$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3445452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Under56c249.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14054853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over47c246.89$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.742,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x213f…2dfabacked Under65c226.65$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c197.54$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.775,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c196.85$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.362,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under53c193.39$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over51c192.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.851,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under34c192.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.33,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Under54c185$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.911957.1%68 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.656547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under54c129.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Under58c129.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Under54c110$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.46056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under55c109$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9552052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c103.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.774,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3039435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5163353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5342551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5740541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.471,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Under58c94.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5516261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c93.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.882,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d8…b596backed Under57c87.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.834047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.857250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over26c73.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6788057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over48c67.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0678648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6729351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over53c65.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1cb1…dad1backed Under57c64.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9f…b083backed Under54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.841354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…0af4backed Over44c59.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.336154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Under56c58.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332564%16 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under55c51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.051,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.513154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over50c49.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.511,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f2…3ca1backed Under60c48.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.263852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under54c48.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0420154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb756…5846backed Under43c46.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205066%33 W · 17 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512857.8%74 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e7…a322backed Under56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4415347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under59c44.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2945653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1f…0568backed Under58c43.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under53c42.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4752552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6736350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafcd…8014backed Over48c41.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.452552%13 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.89760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.