NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf5e28c829c1fa7091a8c20ee1192c62d94d30dbfc20ce1e76b9ea059fd86f5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Nuggets, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 77c | 2,345$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.65 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Jazz | 23c | 1,949$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.49 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Nuggets | 60c | 741.32$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.15 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jazz | 33c | 616.72$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.52 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 23c | 513.58$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.63 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jazz | 50c | 478.81$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…48f3backed Nuggets | 42c | 133.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…2dcebacked Nuggets | 78c | 126.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Jazz | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…8a1dbacked Nuggets | 67c | 112.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Jazz | 58c | 104.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Jazz | 67c | 103.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jazz | 36c | 102.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Nuggets | 73c | 80.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Jazz | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Jazz | 22c | 73.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…b615backed Nuggets | 49c | 60.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12c…b9fdbacked Jazz | 34c | 58.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz | 21c | 50.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Nuggets | 67c | 44.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Jazz | 35c | 41.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -11.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Nuggets | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 70.9%100 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Nuggets | 45c | 29.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Jazz | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…e618backed Nuggets | 77c | 25.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…f6e4backed Nuggets | 62c | 24.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Nuggets | 71c | 23.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Nuggets | 77c | 21.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Nuggets | 73c | 20.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Jazz | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Jazz | 74c | 19.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Strawther: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Nuggets vs. JazzNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.