NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x015ba8322a7a6218a7b9c22f46bf8114c001867e4debed875beb86b2c82105c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Nuggets, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $485,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $541,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nuggets | 50c | 110,229$55,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,114.38 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nuggets | 50c | 80,775$40,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,687.82 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 50c | 75,406$37,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,852.68 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Jazz | 50c | 50,000$24,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,099.98 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Jazz | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 50c | 26,074$13,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,150.91 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 49c | 22,093$10,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,194.58 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 21,656$10,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,611.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 50c | 20,318$10,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,220.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Nuggets | 50c | 17,120$8,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,560 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 11,779$5,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,839.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Jazz | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.82 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Jazz | 51c | 10,095$5,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.76 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Jazz | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…472fbacked Nuggets | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jazz | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Jazz | 50c | 9,615$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.66 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Jazz | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…4c8abacked Nuggets | 50c | 8,370$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz | 50c | 8,309$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.63 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jazz | 51c | 7,068$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.54 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Nuggets | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,728$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.74 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,238$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Jazz | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,922$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.32 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Jazz | 52c | 3,663$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.37 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 22c | 3,353$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.1 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Jazz | 72c | 3,334$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.38 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Jazz | 49c | 3,054$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.88 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Jazz | 49c | 3,014$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,882$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.14 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,809$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.3 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Jazz | 50c | 2,577$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.92 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Jazz | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Jazz | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.69 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 2,039$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,784$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 49c | 1,682$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.87 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 49c | 1,495$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Jazz | 51c | 1,269$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.93 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Jazz | 49c | 1,234$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.32 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Jazz | 49c | 1,201$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.94 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz | 50c | 1,200$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.28 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.92 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Jazz | 51c | 1,143$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.16 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,125$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.05 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Nuggets | 43c | 1,058$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.99 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Jazz | 54c | 1,012$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.64 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Jazz | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…526fbacked Jazz | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Nuggets | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Nuggets | 52c | 983.17$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.25 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nuggets | 51c | 979.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.76 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Nuggets | 40c | 946.16$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.09 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Jazz | 49c | 937.65$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.65 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Jazz | 50c | 884$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Jazz | 57c | 861.82$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.42 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Nuggets | 52c | 819.23$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz | 49c | 777.32$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.86 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…8acabacked Nuggets | 52c | 772.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Jazz | 51c | 770.64$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.83 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 51c | 742$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 736$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.72 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 731.74$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.84 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Nuggets | 43c | 712.71$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.07 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…c618backed Nuggets | 49c | 710$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…296cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 704$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…8dedbacked Jazz | 50c | 690$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 36c | 688.48$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.7 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…13d0backed Jazz | 50c | 688$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…0dc8backed Nuggets | 50c | 672$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…bbb9backed Nuggets | 49c | 666$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…bd16backed Nuggets | 51c | 665$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…c3aabacked Nuggets | 49c | 658$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…2307backed Nuggets | 50c | 658$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17a…25e7backed Jazz | 50c | 656$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…c0e0backed Jazz | 51c | 655$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…0cabbacked Nuggets | 49c | 654$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4c…a0ecbacked Jazz | 50c | 652$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fb…d09fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 651$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432b…ed00backed Nuggets | 49c | 642$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…91eabacked Jazz | 51c | 640$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…6a78backed Jazz | 49c | 637$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…2482backed Jazz | 49c | 635$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…2ca8backed Nuggets | 50c | 632$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9e51backed Nuggets | 50c | 632$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…1232backed Nuggets | 52c | 628.85$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…0d35backed Jazz | 50c | 628$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6c…8e1cbacked Jazz | 51c | 628$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…d6e3backed Jazz | 50c | 622$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd716…63bfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 620$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Strawther: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Nuggets vs. JazzNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.