TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$390,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Under53c72,997$38,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,505.7251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Over50c62,660$31,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,482.9412639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c32,000$16,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,419.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over51c29,999$15,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,634.951,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under50c29,223$14,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,695.0243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under53c24,811$13,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,125.631,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c22,160$10,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,348.94,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over53c20,000$10,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,486.577348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under50c19,610$9,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80522648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Over48c11,879$5,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,170.449741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over49c10,748$5,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,481.317554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over49c9,949$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,074.0338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over50c9,600$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under49c8,399$4,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,115.6317144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f1…4c8abacked Under49c8,327$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0801225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfecf…8cc0backed Under49c8,165$4,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c7,711$3,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,093.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacba…40a1backed Under37c7,416$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.692941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c7,188$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,778.252,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c6,455$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.832,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd752…a1c5backed Over48c6,300$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.12142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c5,513$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.073,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4694…60acbacked Under48c5,284$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under50c5,084$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,54219445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5501,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over79c4,917$3,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.341,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under48c4,099$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.6240350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over45c3,520$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d2…ba4cbacked Under49c3,322$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6281145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under19c3,224$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.211,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under39c3,127$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.3756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over49c2,838$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.4679549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under50c2,528$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.832150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c2,357$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.411,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c2,149$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.832,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c2,102$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over52c2,083$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.722,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under49c2,020$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.735749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c1,856$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.413,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Under29c1,765$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.311741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Under49c1,694$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8303548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over45c1,425$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.053,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c1,383$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.734,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c1,336$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.552,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over47c1,320$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.4723147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Under11c1,300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1439618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under50c1,284$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64237747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over45c1,244$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.22,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc09…3079backed Under51c989.42$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056839.7%27 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c940.72$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.971,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under51c874.98$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.2432151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under46c851.65$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.7623850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under41c731.8$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.13,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c709.09$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.828,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6e…df0abacked Over50c698$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ad…2675backed Under50c692$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd0…3390backed Under47c688$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8913…ee07backed Over50c686$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf83…b0c8backed Over50c684$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e1…4a61backed Under50c676$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6011…2c80backed Under50c676$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…7f4ebacked Over50c676$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Under65c673.01$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.9323546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x674b…cd10backed Under47c670$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb3…3bc5backed Over50c664$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over53c661$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6731354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9532…6873backed Over53c652$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…8c13backed Over50c650$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f28…5039backed Over50c646$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b51…5c96backed Under50c640$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x601c…790abacked Under50c638$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fc…2ad1backed Under50c628$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35bf…cd05backed Over50c624$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7067…9ababacked Over50c619.58$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.794100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e6a…62c6backed Over53c606.8$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…041bbacked Over53c603$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010254.9%56 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Under17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10228616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3067454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e91…d686backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc662…1deebacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28215446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ce…5de3backed Under47c596$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ddf…a48dbacked Under50c596$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd212…e16bbacked Over50c592$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bb…811dbacked Under50c592$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d6…8e71backed Under50c590$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed2…bd28backed Over50c580$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over56c578.18$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.013,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f28…6ec8backed Over50c578$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2892100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ab1…e974backed Over53c570$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…296ebacked Over50c568$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f02…b721backed Under50c564$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c2…1c61backed Under50c564$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…1d8bbacked Under50c560$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.