NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Jazz

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55483b95942035d6b067568d8f795420d3cb30fd2932bae2535efb8194f24eb0

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Nuggets, Jazz
Resolved: Mar 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,891,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,088,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,891,477 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 819 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Jazz	16c	229,352$35,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,902.78	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz	16c	149,550$23,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,261.38	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jazz	16c	141,916$22,707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,706.52	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Jazz	23c	103,718$23,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,528.17	168	48.2%81 W · 87 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets	80c	90,147$71,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,367.83	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Jazz	15c	79,999$12,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,299.85	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Jazz	24c	63,196$14,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,995.89	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz	15c	55,815$8,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,372.18	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Jazz	21c	55,813$11,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,619.51	146	63.7%93 W · 53 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a1b…549ebacked Jazz	0c	51,000$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jazz	16c	48,576$7,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,772.09	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	16c	45,514$7,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,182.3	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Jazz	16c	42,031$6,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,724.91	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz	15c	40,017$6,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,152.22	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets	72c	33,058$23,787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,270.75	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz	15c	29,999$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,499.87	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Jazz	18c	27,798$5,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,110.48	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Jazz	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz	15c	23,212$3,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,453.92	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Jazz	15c	21,240$3,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,186	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e8…a7bdbacked Jazz	9c	21,111$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-87%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Jazz	16c	20,831$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,399.66	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Jazz	16c	20,393$3,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,262.88	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f3d…2023backed Nuggets	53c	20,243$10,708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,534.17	96	51%49 W · 47 L	-7.2wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz	15c	17,500$2,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,625	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Jazz	19c	16,700$3,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,201.08	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz	15c	16,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Jazz	15c	16,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,399.94	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Nuggets	80c	15,747$12,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,164.64	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz	34c	15,024$5,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,080.52	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Jazz	15c	14,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.93	214	46.7%100 W · 114 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz	18c	13,328$2,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,433.92	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nuggets	65c	13,180$8,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,609.67	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Jazz	18c	13,009$2,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,391.08	626	52.2%327 W · 299 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Jazz	17c	12,953$2,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,202	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6480…fb82backed Nuggets	79c	12,660$10,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,616.66	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Jazz	18c	12,603$2,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,227.64	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	-8.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Jazz	15c	12,500$1,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,929.99	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Jazz	28c	12,232$3,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,482.04	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Jazz	15c	12,071$1,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,863.09	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	16c	11,599$1,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,855.87	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Jazz	16c	11,000$1,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,760	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Jazz	16c	10,900$1,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,743.98	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nuggets	77c	10,706$8,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,444.83	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Jazz	19c	10,447$1,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,985	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz	16c	10,440$1,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,667.12	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Jazz	15c	10,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz	14c	9,925$1,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,437.28	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Jazz	21c	9,813$2,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,017.12	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Jazz	16c	9,682$1,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,515.69	295	47.5%140 W · 155 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Jazz	16c	9,672$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575.11	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nuggets	76c	9,574$7,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300.89	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets	80c	8,927$7,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,794.26	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Jazz	15c	8,542$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Jazz	16c	8,521$1,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,342.37	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Jazz	43c	8,140$3,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,465.49	127	40.9%52 W · 75 L	-15.3wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	15c	8,130$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.77	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Jazz	16c	8,110$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320.24	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Jazz	20c	8,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets	71c	7,775$5,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,273.88	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Nuggets	76c	7,729$5,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,864.05	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7099…1c59backed Jazz	22c	7,441$1,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,608.98	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz	16c	6,889$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.27	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz	15c	6,799$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.64	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz	17c	6,763$1,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,167.75	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Nuggets	70c	6,403$4,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,907.12	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Nuggets	70c	6,392$4,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,930.31	334	28.1%94 W · 240 L	-20.3wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Jazz	18c	6,319$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121.68	184	38.6%71 W · 113 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Jazz	16c	6,250$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	17cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc2…eaefbacked Jazz	16c	6,250$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	110	56.4%62 W · 48 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Nuggets	78c	6,011$4,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,299.83	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-9.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Nuggets	77c	6,000$4,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,360.1	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz	31c	5,947$1,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,837.57	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Jazz	17c	5,881$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.75	354	38.1%135 W · 219 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Jazz	16c	5,800$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz	16c	5,697$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.01	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz	4c	5,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdebc…c36dbacked Nuggets	41c	4,998$2,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,954.61	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Nuggets	79c	4,915$3,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,032.24	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8781…f514backed Jazz	16c	4,855$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$758.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+53.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed Jazz	21c	4,762$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Jazz	21c	4,672$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jazz	16c	4,594$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.78	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz	16c	4,486$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.6	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Jazz	20c	4,400$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	128	44.5%57 W · 71 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Jazz	16c	4,254$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$682.16	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Jazz	16c	4,250$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Jazz	39c	4,236$1,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,671.8	172	46.5%80 W · 92 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Jazz	12c	4,135$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.87	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Nuggets	79c	4,017$3,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$843.66	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Jazz	16c	4,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Jazz	20c	4,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	135	43.7%59 W · 76 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x184f…389ebacked Jazz	16c	4,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	43cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Jazz	17c	3,900$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663	314	55.1%173 W · 141 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Jazz	18c	3,900$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.52	230	52.6%121 W · 109 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Nuggets	76c	3,577$2,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$848.48	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a65…fdb5backed Jazz	19c	3,500$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675	224	23.7%53 W · 171 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nuggets	76c	3,428$2,615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$813.18	621	44%273 W · 348 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Jazz	15c	3,350$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.5	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda59…e3a5backed Jazz	18c	3,282$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.76	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	45cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nuggets vs. Jazzthis page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Jazz won
Ace Bailey: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5No won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Julian Strawther: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Keyonte George: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Over won
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Jazz won
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Jazz won
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Jazz won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nuggets vs. Jazz

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event