TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$279,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x067f…e041backed Over52c30,000$15,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,513.011,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,399.931,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under51c24,617$12,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,566.8443542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f3…3110backed Under48c21,620$10,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,377.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over48c19,605$9,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,194.4922648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c18,880$9,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,44049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Under52c15,385$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000.25945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over47c14,000$6,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,42054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c12,862$6,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,844.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Under55c12,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6004654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over46c11,301$5,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,102.4217554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under53c8,846$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Under48c8,337$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001.913135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c8,259$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,97034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c6,800$3,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,376.512,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under55c5,883$3,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,235.6526544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c5,881$2,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,019.134,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c5,247$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.614,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under48c4,820$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.7640350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over47c4,608$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.2638251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under51c4,069$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.0838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c4,024$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9912745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9879549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfecf…8cc0backed Under52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa401…1dafbacked Under48c2,714$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c2,184$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.932,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c2,112$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.336,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over45c1,989$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.6923147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0764944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,680$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.623,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80010251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c1,596$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84650754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over51c1,488$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.122,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Under48c1,156$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55521355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under48c1,111$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2843543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over50c1,015$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.2527747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Over50c999.91$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.9640035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over50c985.11$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9518438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over52c961.52$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5324050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c948.2$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Under48c867.67$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.481338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bd…ca52backed Under49c710$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0cb…9b41backed Over51c705$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1af…fa80backed Under49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over43c696.73$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.032,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80f3…4d02backed Under49c688$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1247…d033backed Over51c680$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe027…154ebacked Over51c675$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b6…b948backed Over51c670$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0b03backed Under49c670$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e5…4b2abacked Over51c669$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac2…2561backed Under49c669$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x476a…db42backed Over51c665$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.854100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ff9…c54fbacked Over51c665$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0194…3d67backed Under49c662$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa412…25bdbacked Under49c657$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ba…17cbbacked Under49c653$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161f…cdcebacked Under49c650$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd427…3528backed Over51c650$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7d6…7e61backed Under49c644$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c3…2610backed Over51c642$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c638$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3192,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3e…1d13backed Under49c638$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over47c636.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.5452951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2e…2d5abacked Under49c634$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under48c624.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b5…ffb2backed Over51c620$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…8543backed Over51c610$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d2…cc93backed Under49c608$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8179…f721backed Over50c603$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28861747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5d…e2e5backed Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd9…cc5bbacked Over50c597$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…14e6backed Over50c597$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b90…b01abacked Under50c596$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80e5…6f03backed Over51c595$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc90c…eeb7backed Over50c595$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f68…6e32backed Under50c593$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9796…d24fbacked Under50c592$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d9…63f6backed Over50c589$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67fd…0339backed Under49c588$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3276…dac9backed Over51c585$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fa…86f5backed Over51c585$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5752…b57cbacked Under50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc2…73e3backed Over51c580$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed1…e629backed Under50c577$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5178…e3d4backed Under50c576$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe225…3e64backed Under50c569$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6797…713fbacked Under49c568$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5c…0368backed Under50c563$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba42…ea1cbacked Under49c560$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x673c…47e0backed Over51c560$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb519…dd84backed Under49c556$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f2f…874bbacked Over50c553$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b5…1e31backed Over51c550$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.