NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c56138d92715141d433825d77aef1e4658eef367d3c6fac5523468faadf17e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 4,575$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 4,131$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 49c | 4,080$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.2 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Under | 48c | 3,563$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 3,169$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.43 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Over | 53c | 2,134$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.96 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 1,886$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.07 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 5c | 1,757$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 1,418$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.02 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 51c | 1,325$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.25 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 53c | 1,277$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.36 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 1,177$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 995.22$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 932.51$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.4 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 700$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 9c | 533$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 453.81$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 450.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.47 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 281$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 48c | 272.63$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 53c | 213.2$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Under | 50c | 202.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 50c | 190.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 47c | 182.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 51c | 177.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 172.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 166.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Over | 52c | 157.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 157.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 71c | 155.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 154.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11b…3fe3backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 53c | 120$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…d479backed Over | 57c | 119.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 131 | 15.3%20 W · 111 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Over | 51c | 97.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Under | 52c | 96.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -10.8wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 52c | 96.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 52c | 76.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 58c | 68.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 66.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Over | 53c | 56.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 77c | 47.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 46.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 51c | 39.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 60c | 38.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1d…3204backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Under | 40c | 25.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…9442backed Over | 63c | 19.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…2851backed Over | 72c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 71c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Jazz won
- Ace Bailey: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julian Strawther: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Nuggets vs. JazzNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.