NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9119418615d7a91bd8aa035bd621184ed12c3ebd0c54c65bad045b91b2e0a886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Red Wings, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,101,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,126,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,101,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 541 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Avalanche | 63c | 333,485$210,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210,095.36 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Red Wings | 37c | 327,799$120,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207,123.7 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Red Wings | 37c | 132,750$49,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,632.25 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Avalanche | 36c | 109,887$39,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,559.38 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Red Wings | 36c | 108,216$39,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,982.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Red Wings | 64c | 106,998$68,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,546.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Avalanche | 63c | 53,672$33,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,813.44 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings | 56c | 47,499$26,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,832.49 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche | 64c | 41,909$26,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,793.14 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Red Wings | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche | 34c | 26,378$9,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,038.92 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 64c | 23,364$15,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,040.1 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962a…f14fbacked Avalanche | 61c | 20,400$12,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,444 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…36e2backed Red Wings | 39c | 20,400$7,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,444 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…0f4fbacked Avalanche | 64c | 20,312$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Avalanche | 63c | 18,000$11,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,339.92 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Avalanche | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,449.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 64c | 14,065$9,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,026.52 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Avalanche | 64c | 12,500$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings | 35c | 10,928$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,117.33 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Red Wings | 36c | 10,123$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,478.84 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Avalanche | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Avalanche | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.99 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Avalanche | 63c | 9,947$6,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,266.59 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95c…f1d7backed Red Wings | 80c | 9,534$7,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Avalanche | 64c | 9,375$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 54c | 8,966$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,842.47 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Red Wings | 35c | 8,785$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,710.37 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 52c | 7,844$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.07 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Avalanche | 64c | 7,061$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539.77 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Avalanche | 29c | 6,901$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.19 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Avalanche | 15c | 6,872$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings | 35c | 6,500$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Avalanche | 46c | 6,450$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche | 59c | 6,010$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.11 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Avalanche | 6c | 5,664$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.84 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Red Wings | 53c | 5,486$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.24 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Avalanche | 64c | 5,389$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Avalanche | 64c | 5,177$3,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.28 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Red Wings | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Avalanche | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 54c | 4,933$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 42c | 4,748$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.69 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Avalanche | 64c | 4,621$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.44 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Red Wings | 72c | 4,424$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.14 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Avalanche | 34c | 4,297$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.51 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings | 77c | 4,260$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.2 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Avalanche | 24c | 4,194$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Avalanche | 63c | 4,062$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.35 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 64c | 4,053$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.14 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Avalanche | 64c | 3,600$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Red Wings | 42c | 3,533$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.76 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Avalanche | 65c | 3,381$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.2 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…7791backed Red Wings | 67c | 3,358$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings | 56c | 3,325$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.02 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Avalanche | 64c | 3,150$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.75 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Avalanche | 64c | 3,150$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.75 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Avalanche | 63c | 3,100$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.15 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Avalanche | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Avalanche | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Wings | 62c | 2,933$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.49 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,778$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.77 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Avalanche | 53c | 2,628$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.82 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 66c | 2,502$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.61 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,479$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.66 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Avalanche | 65c | 2,423$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Red Wings | 64c | 2,406$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.25 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Avalanche | 63c | 2,334$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.64 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Avalanche | 64c | 2,202$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 40c | 2,199$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.32 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Wings | 37c | 2,162$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.16 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…a1b6backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,150$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Red Wings | 66c | 2,040$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.45 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…97f8backed Avalanche | 65c | 2,015$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…b8a5backed Red Wings | 35c | 2,002$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,998$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,960$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Red Wings | 58c | 1,834$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.61 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Avalanche | 53c | 1,829$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.89 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Red Wings | 37c | 1,699$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.15 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Avalanche | 31c | 1,527$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.53 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Red Wings | 36c | 1,500$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.57 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Avalanche | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Avalanche | 40c | 1,470$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…a19bbacked Red Wings | 64c | 1,409$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Red Wings | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Red Wings | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…6ffabacked Red Wings | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Avalanche | 63c | 1,351$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.12 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Avalanche | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Avalanche | 21c | 1,250$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.5 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,250$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.41 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Avalanche | 41c | 1,232$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.64 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Avalanche | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Avalanchethis page
- Red Wings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.