TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunderland AFCof Sunderland AFC, Burnley FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,554 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Sunderland AFC27c4,156$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0262,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Burnley FC73c3,736$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.5719253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Sunderland AFC25c2,667$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.251844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Burnley FC73c2,170$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.18146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Sunderland AFC26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.9840953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Sunderland AFC30c1,677$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.523923.1%9 W · 30 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-47.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Burnley FC73c917.54$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.811163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Sunderland AFC24c840$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.47131%22 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Burnley FC3c826.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.822244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Burnley FC23c720.91$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0716232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Sunderland AFC28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.299929.3%29 W · 70 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Sunderland AFC25c659.16$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.376737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Burnley FC70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42052454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sunderland AFC53c590.86$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.916,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Burnley FC73c499.99$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9921656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Sunderland AFC27c424$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.171,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Burnley FC70c423.16$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2125752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Burnley FC73c411.16$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Sunderland AFC29c399.98$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9837342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Sunderland AFC54c397.05$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.861,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a62…fa34backed Sunderland AFC28c389.29$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.291526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Sunderland AFC28c310.29$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4135328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Burnley FC73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2193839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Burnley FC73c297.04$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.849749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Burnley FC24c274$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8625052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Burnley FC74c270.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Burnley FC73c247$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.212454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Burnley FC77c189.98$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.975850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Sunderland AFC29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4136036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Burnley FC75c172.09$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.912,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Burnley FC73c164.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Sunderland AFC41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.342951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x575f…9287backed Sunderland AFC24c138.75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.453228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Sunderland AFC35c131.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3810044%44 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Sunderland AFC26c120$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.816136.6%59 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Burnley FC73c101.58$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.151,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Sunderland AFC25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Burnley FC25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Sunderland AFC27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Sunderland AFC45c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.57252.8%38 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Sunderland AFC26c99.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7410124.8%25 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sunderland AFC77c97.59$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0731747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Sunderland AFC27c90.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7339052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Sunderland AFC29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2111736.8%43 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Sunderland AFC29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2111839%46 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sunderland AFC24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3335134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Sunderland AFC76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.28048.8%39 W · 41 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x04dd…c0e3backed Sunderland AFC28c77.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Sunderland AFC28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4316233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Sunderland AFC25c71.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5712236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x205b…d66abacked Sunderland AFC24c69.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.22176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+46.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Burnley FC72c68.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.711460.5%69 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0aa…6818backed Burnley FC74c66.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4940%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Sunderland AFC27c62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.264052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d28…96ccbacked Burnley FC74c54.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Burnley FC74c53.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.753852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Burnley FC47c52.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8145142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Sunderland AFC27c51.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5733753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Sunderland AFC42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Sunderland AFC23c45.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.260728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sunderland AFC27c44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.941,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Burnley FC72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7604…f7cdbacked Sunderland AFC25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92bf…0297backed Burnley FC73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23c0…77babacked Burnley FC73c37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sunderland AFC74c36.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.589152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Burnley FC74c32.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.17651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Burnley FC74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.26145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0df…a1dbbacked Sunderland AFC43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Burnley FC74c28.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.92955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b4…15e3backed Burnley FC73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Burnley FC73c26.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.086456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Burnley FC73c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.061735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc006…036abacked Burnley FC71c20.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Burnley FC72c20.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.796147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Burnley FC71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28038.8%31 W · 49 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b72…5b75backed Burnley FC72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd944…07d5backed Burnley FC73c19.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.012245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Burnley FC74c18.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.694153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Burnley FC76c17.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.091,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…663abacked Sunderland AFC76c17.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe759…4f96backed Burnley FC73c16.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x788f…c351backed Burnley FC73c15.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a39…bf2abacked Burnley FC73c15.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd21c…6ab2backed Burnley FC73c15.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…d7d8backed Burnley FC74c14.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.78812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick53cpaid-83.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.