TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$566,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$589,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x084a…fd3dbacked Over39c215,922$84,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,141.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c118,009$67,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,225.766,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2eb…562dbacked Under59c76,678$45,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,170.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-62.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under63c24,495$15,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,425.311349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Under62c20,500$12,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,7107750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over46c19,391$8,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,430.871163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c17,501$10,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,373.864,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over41c14,998$6,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,794.063360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c13,923$5,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,181.72,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over43c10,415$4,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,963.2421049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over39c9,394$3,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,741.753545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Under53c7,555$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0009746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under56c7,500$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9138649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over37c6,896$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,344.7219253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over45c6,878$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,787.666567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under59c6,682$3,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,924.692,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b6…bca1backed Over44c6,107$2,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under61c5,970$3,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,641.553633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over45c5,025$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,756.07683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.329250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Over47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.321656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over40c4,158$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.471,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over46c4,125$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.5913852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under63c4,018$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.4912454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under58c4,001$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.922,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Under54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under55c3,767$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.928146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over41c3,659$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.5434628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over44c3,359$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.041952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under61c3,143$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.915049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over56c2,999$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.564252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x069c…c844backed Over46c2,800$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.151526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3259256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under57c1,975$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.724445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.086543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over43c1,856$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.9449254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Under54c1,823$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.281163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under60c1,772$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.4233753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over80c1,576$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.332948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under57c1,566$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.6752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over40c1,512$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.215952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Under57c1,430$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8202025%5 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under29c1,245$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.461,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under54c1,098$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.729949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x743e…16aebacked Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+73.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over72c893.58$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8815060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under47c730$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.11963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+52.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over58c625$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under55c589.91$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.456346%29 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Under51c586.88$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.233063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over44c522.73$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.734052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over53c522.07$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.076248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22526548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29513054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.87237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over40c481.25$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.753959%23 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Over47c479.61$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.159451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd0f…5aabbacked Over43c461.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.293525.7%9 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+95.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b2f…7241backed Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.44742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over46c428.86$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.738050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Over47c422.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over38c407.89$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8919826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over48c405$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.0125052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22837342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over42c380.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.982552%13 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under50c377.65$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.813243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over45c374.38$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.913745.9%17 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over39c313.16$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.667251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under54c299.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.999749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over43c295.34$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.345438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Under62c287.1$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1782934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over43c276.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0723435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under58c272.45$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.022454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over39c269.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.223154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Under55c252.94$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010058%58 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under41c244.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over59c240$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.445751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over47c235.39$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6631747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Under52c224.46$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.774141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under56c214.28$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9927748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over56c208.14$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.584858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410354.4%56 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11611850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905263.5%33 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over40c199.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9511443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8126…9d18backed Over78c196.5$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked Over44c195.84$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Over38c192.74$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5710252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Over44c175$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983630.6%11 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under60c166.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.219556.8%54 W · 41 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over60c163.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3320864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…3fb0backed Under54c162.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Under57c158$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.062343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c155.53$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.961,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.