Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe01779bb6f66f099e3fc4e7da01c06ec66ee7c0a584cd9b38ae2e93cbc34c5c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 32c | 6,200$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.5 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 79c | 5,063$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.29 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 2,852$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.5 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 2,202$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.73 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 21c | 1,901$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.21 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 20c | 1,472$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.4 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Under | 72c | 1,397$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.77 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 79c | 1,393$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.58 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Under | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 20c | 1,247$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.91 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 34c | 940.03$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.32 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 22c | 658$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 41c | 625$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.47 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 616.45$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.97 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Under | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Over | 3c | 474.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f8a0backed Over | 31c | 416.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 78c | 409.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Over | 39c | 373$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.47 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…d7afbacked Over | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 40c | 264$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 257.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 23c | 219.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 79c | 204.81$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 23c | 159.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 33c | 151.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…0c2abacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 16c | 124.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 70c | 120.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 44c | 105.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…18ddbacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 63c | 98.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Over | 41c | 84.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 24c | 79.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 74.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…663abacked Over | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 65c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 75c | 60.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Over | 24c | 52.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 40c | 48.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…7138backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 41c | 38.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…09b7backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…bb41backed Under | 59c | 33.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 67c | 28.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…4a34backed Under | 56c | 24.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 61c | 20.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 68c | 19.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.