Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd7a42b6bdc800e3d35bf5654b08a4464dd8e17da962b62c9085d463935ed246
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 18,591$5,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,903.92 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 28c | 6,428$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.84 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 0c | 5,653$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 65c | 5,268$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.74 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over | 72c | 4,515$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.13 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.69 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Over | 66c | 2,755$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 34c | 2,679$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.47 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 68c | 2,368$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.65 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 13c | 1,865$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.58 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Over | 80c | 1,764$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 66c | 1,575$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.47 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 1,572$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.09 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 65c | 1,529$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 32c | 1,115$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.74 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 70c | 875$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 70c | 760$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 14c | 709.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 68c | 641.35$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.33 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 63c | 349.21$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 70c | 342.93$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 33c | 337.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 70c | 287$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 66c | 266.07$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 249.66$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 70c | 219.74$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 34c | 215.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 35c | 214$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 65c | 199.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Over | 65c | 153.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e11…834cbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked Over | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…871cbacked Over | 72c | 119.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 64c | 115.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Under | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…5b61backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Under | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 30c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0f…5aabbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…728abacked Over | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 67c | 52.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…48abbacked Under | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 34c | 46.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Over | 72c | 44.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b32…d6a8backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Over | 72c | 37.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Over | 72c | 31.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 65c | 30.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over | 66c | 30.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Over | 72c | 30.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…0086backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…9b6bbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Over | 69c | 26.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 68c | 25.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Over | 72c | 22.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda2…8937backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 72c | 20.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…3fd0backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 66c | 17.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa34…02c5backed Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.