TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7088…0086

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT9534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$174.8
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or higher on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.3
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C or higher on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.44
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.24
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$3.89
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C or higher on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2580%20 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$19
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.8
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $360-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$29.78
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $350-$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$21
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $200-$205 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.77
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Amazon reach $224 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$17.59
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $295-$300 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.25
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $148-$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$19.31
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $390-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$9.4
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $295-$300 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$15.4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$5.93
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$9.6
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $255-$260 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 9 above $670?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$13.73
Will Jeff Hurd be the Republican nominee for CO-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.57
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000 voters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+83.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+73%+$23.12
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+139%+$34.9
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $55-$60 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+184%+$37.35
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.4
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+912%+$94.63
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+104.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+206.1%+$101
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+100%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+50.4%+$6.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.