Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf688606e6f30e1c55c595ccb992d095e8c9ffe2153154aeec6609eb002f201ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 22c | 2,037$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.99 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…714dbacked No | 38c | 1,300$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…8b87backed Yes | 67c | 1,245$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…e69bbacked No | 31c | 1,060$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 70c | 857.74$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.26 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 79c | 655.25$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 5c | 586.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 72c | 487.01$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed Yes | 68c | 416$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 64c | 414.05$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 69c | 402.5$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed No | 8c | 399.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 355.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 10c | 354.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 72c | 338.79$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 25c | 338$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 332.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 18c | 323.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 16c | 318.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 6c | 317.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 19c | 295.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 14c | 275$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 18c | 266.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 33c | 261.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 224.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 215.3$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 8c | 212.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 16c | 210$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x769d…05bfbacked No | 18c | 210$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 13c | 203.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…01cbbacked Yes | 75c | 202.67$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 9c | 198$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 26c | 194.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 6c | 174$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 11c | 163.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 17c | 157.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…2c17backed No | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 20c | 109.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…ee01backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3d…929fbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 75c | 98.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 96.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 18c | 91.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 71c | 76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 15c | 71.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 77c | 63.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 95 | 78.9%75 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…75a6backed Yes | 77c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…0086backed No | 27c | 52.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…e178backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 75c | 49.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf992…ebb5backed Yes | 68c | 48.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 36c | 48.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…5a2abacked No | 34c | 43.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 72c | 42.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 35c | 41.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…d8a9backed Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 38c | 35.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 29c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0867backed Yes | 78c | 31.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…f4a7backed Yes | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 70c | 26.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 75c | 25.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked Yes | 69c | 21.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2641…062fbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecd…84b4backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…523cbacked Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd50…5700backed Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…ec7cbacked Yes | 72c | 14.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will Billy Webster win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Mullins McLeod win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.