Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Billy Webster win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c8dc748cfec530d07f450add0f80996a742d36d532058b39bd561cd6e67d841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 14c | 2,304$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.59 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 4c | 544.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…6d0ebacked Yes | 19c | 516.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 29c | 374.67$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 14c | 223$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 32c | 166.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 7c | 147$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 79c | 109$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 37c | 91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 79.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…523cbacked Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd50…5700backed Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 95 | 78.9%75 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…9f54backed Yes | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 68c | 42.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 72c | 32.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 80c | 31.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495a…f3a7backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02c…ced9backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 80c | 15.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Billy Webster win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?Yes won
- Will Mullins McLeod win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.