TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FK Bodø/Glimtof FK Bodø/Glimt, NEC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,070 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26a6…dedebacked NEC4c11,593$500 inLost-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+195.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed NEC3c4,722$160 inLost-$159.611625%4 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+341.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked NEC3c4,508$142 inLost-$141.983847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked NEC5c3,073$142 inLost-$142.2513738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed NEC4c1,178$50 inLost-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe8…843fbacked NEC11c1,115$124 inLost-$123.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed NEC3c1,000$31 inLost-$31.59248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked NEC5c946.83$43 inLost-$43.286142.6%26 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5db5…057fbacked NEC4c555.56$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed NEC10c427.8$43 inLost-$42.74425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked NEC4c335$13 inLost-$13.41421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+169.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed NEC3c319.84$11 inLost-$10.942532%8 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7088…0086backed NEC3c299.98$10 inLost-$10.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d24…9e78backed NEC4c286.28$11 inLost-$11.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed NEC4c270.51$11 inLost-$10.542821.4%6 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bf…10fdbacked NEC4c258.21$10 inLost-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+323.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked NEC10c143.18$14 inLost-$13.89310%0 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.