Champions League · resolved market
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5555725ac1db2cb8ad82c4dad75748b7c9322013f6f114884b22db24a65544e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 12,314$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.56 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 9,885$6,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.33 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 65c | 1,401$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 27c | 1,091$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.34 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…f058backed Under | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 40c | 799.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 76c | 788.89$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over | 4c | 729.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Under | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 22c | 506.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 478.34$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 57c | 407.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.02 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 36c | 354.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 269 | 31.6%85 W · 184 L | -22.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Under | 67c | 313.43$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…2e76backed Under | 67c | 305.97$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 67c | 296.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Under | 60c | 265.03$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 236.87$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 33c | 184.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 526 | 46.8%246 W · 280 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 66c | 130.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Over | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 42c | 95.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 59c | 88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 40c | 87.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 77c | 64.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Under | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 30c | 49.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 32c | 46.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…5e33backed Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under | 67c | 34.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 216 | 43.5%94 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 214 | 16.8%36 W · 178 L | -38.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 68c | 27.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…f94abacked Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 60c | 24.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…a661backed Under | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…7d35backed Under | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 79c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: O/U 4.5this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: NEC O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: NEC O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: Team to AdvanceFK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: NEC (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.