TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FK Bodø/Glimtof FK Bodø/Glimt, NEC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,018 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa084…bb99backed NEC50c3,476$1,749 inLost-$1,748.881040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed NEC17c2,428$402 inLost-$402.452,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Bodø/Glimt43c2,163$925 inWon+$1,237.8696837.4%362 W · 606 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FK Bodø/Glimt66c1,546$1,024 inWon+$521.7349840.4%201 W · 297 L-1.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed NEC77c1,300$1,000 inLost-$1,0001050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FK Bodø/Glimt23c1,000$230 inWon+$77036942.5%157 W · 212 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed NEC54c837.24$454 inLost-$453.8374935.4%265 W · 484 L-30.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed FK Bodø/Glimt50c702$351 inWon+$3512176.2%16 W · 5 L+7.2wins+0.34per pick42cpaid+113.5%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed FK Bodø/Glimt50c702$351 inWon+$3512272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.9wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+60.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FK Bodø/Glimt50c524.64$262 inWon+$262.3261437.5%230 W · 384 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FK Bodø/Glimt50c514.53$255 inWon+$259.6938953.7%209 W · 180 L+21.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed FK Bodø/Glimt61c308.85$188 inWon+$121.341,07134.8%373 W · 698 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked FK Bodø/Glimt37c300$111 inWon+$1896046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked FK Bodø/Glimt46c296.28$136 inWon+$159.993354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed FK Bodø/Glimt47c264.59$124 inWon+$140.231963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked FK Bodø/Glimt50c249.66$125 inWon+$124.8312442.7%53 W · 71 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…80c0backed NEC75c150$113 inLost-$112.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc73…d984backed FK Bodø/Glimt50c120$60 inWon+$60666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed NEC51c111$57 inLost-$56.6116148.4%78 W · 83 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed FK Bodø/Glimt24c100.34$24 inWon+$75.967649.4%334 W · 342 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked FK Bodø/Glimt50c100$50 inWon+$502733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FK Bodø/Glimt61c99.52$60 inWon+$39.2326931.6%85 W · 184 L-22.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed NEC20c77$16 inLost-$15.526170.5%43 W · 18 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed FK Bodø/Glimt52c73$38 inWon+$35.246937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked FK Bodø/Glimt25c69.98$17 inWon+$52.4939442.9%169 W · 225 L-23.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked NEC57c69.92$40 inLost-$40.0918043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a9c…e8c4backed FK Bodø/Glimt50c54.62$27 inWon+$27.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed FK Bodø/Glimt50c40$20 inWon+$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FK Bodø/Glimt50c29.35$15 inWon+$14.5718651.1%95 W · 91 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca6…9da8backed FK Bodø/Glimt50c20$10 inWon+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed FK Bodø/Glimt50c20$10 inWon+$1018149.2%89 W · 92 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked FK Bodø/Glimt50c20$10 inWon+$103100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+134%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked FK Bodø/Glimt73c13.79$10 inWon+$3.787846.2%36 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.