Stocks · resolved market
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcf2daae8d3f7e0aef8a4effef79360fe2860d6704475a2548f390f1e4e140c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 55c | 4,406$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.14 | 1,106 | 43.9%486 W · 620 L | +27.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 66c | 2,080$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.39 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 64c | 1,867$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.18 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 31c | 1,493$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.1 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked No | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 75c | 989.28$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.62 | 1,775 | 49%869 W · 906 L | +141.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 35c | 931.4$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.91 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed No | 59c | 887.66$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.99 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 72c | 873.72$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.76 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 76c | 589.63$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…db7abacked No | 46c | 529$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.99 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e200backed No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 13c | 412.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -79%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0c…7fa3backed No | 53c | 326.28$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +18.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed No | 80c | 322$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 47c | 309.81$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 41c | 278.82$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.1 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…756bbacked No | 49c | 266.18$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…233abacked No | 70c | 254.8$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…4500backed No | 41c | 252.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 47c | 243.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 69c | 215.94$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed No | 40c | 207.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…37d1backed No | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…1ac1backed Yes | 54c | 198.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 73c | 167.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 33c | 160$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…9f3abacked No | 29c | 155$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 150.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…4f37backed No | 29c | 149$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…9700backed No | 29c | 148$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…d247backed No | 29c | 146$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3512…2ffdbacked No | 29c | 146$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1684…154ebacked No | 29c | 146$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…affcbacked No | 29c | 144$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c4…f943backed No | 29c | 144$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa5…85cabacked Yes | 63c | 138.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 54c | 136.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca54…6646backed No | 29c | 132$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…67acbacked No | 29c | 131$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb827…1ff1backed No | 29c | 126$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 65c | 125.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87db…f278backed No | 29c | 125$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681a…162bbacked No | 29c | 125$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…2830backed No | 29c | 124$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…1958backed No | 29c | 110$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…941ebacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 40c | 96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…0b6bbacked Yes | 71c | 91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3b…fe44backed Yes | 71c | 91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…de4bbacked Yes | 71c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7c…07fbbacked Yes | 71c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…f8a1backed Yes | 71c | 88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…588cbacked Yes | 71c | 88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0b…276bbacked Yes | 71c | 85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752d…00b6backed Yes | 71c | 85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…f8bebacked Yes | 71c | 84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 64c | 83.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…d7b0backed Yes | 71c | 82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416f…af0bbacked Yes | 71c | 82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99d…0bcebacked Yes | 71c | 81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe028…02a7backed Yes | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03b…5a2dbacked Yes | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda02…01c1backed Yes | 71c | 79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf781…c9abbacked Yes | 71c | 79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95c…3da0backed Yes | 71c | 79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…1c71backed Yes | 71c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…c62fbacked Yes | 71c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2c…0caebacked Yes | 71c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad21…6b98backed Yes | 71c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…609fbacked Yes | 71c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3871…6dfcbacked Yes | 71c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…3bcbbacked Yes | 71c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…dcccbacked No | 59c | 77.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…d72dbacked Yes | 71c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed No | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed Yes | 50c | 64.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 32c | 59.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +9.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 59c | 48.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 44c | 45.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 37.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 60c | 37.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 45c | 35.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed No | 73c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 78c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…6631backed No | 54c | 31.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 55c | 30.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 70c | 27.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2143…89a0backed No | 65c | 26.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…0086backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed Yes | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…9d72backed No | 63c | 17.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?this page
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $200 end of February?Yes won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of February?Yes won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of February?Yes won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of February?Yes won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $240 end of February?Yes won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of February?Yes won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of February?Yes won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of February?No won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 end of February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.