Stocks · resolved market
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7aeda1581106cb3b61f712b530a092d6980de789345b35250e1fc6140e2f958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 5,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,167$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 1,443 | 8.8%127 W · 1,316 L | -53.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 31c | 1,448$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.97 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 572$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 150 | 5.3%8 W · 142 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed Yes | 27c | 341.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 270.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d7…256bbacked No | 76c | 260$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0c…7fa3backed No | 69c | 256.38$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +18.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 73c | 227.21$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 1,775 | 49%869 W · 906 L | +141.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…6631backed No | 79c | 199.08$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 36c | 193.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 63c | 152$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 11c | 144$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 77c | 144$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 123.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…6154backed No | 54c | 121$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e8fdbacked No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 119.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd209…e499backed No | 54c | 118$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa317…7f10backed No | 54c | 118$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…8f44backed No | 54c | 118$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d73…a063backed No | 54c | 115$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…4409backed No | 54c | 113$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b7…7ebdbacked No | 54c | 113$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…ab13backed No | 54c | 113$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…9947backed No | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…79b5backed No | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621b…61e5backed No | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…bac8backed No | 54c | 109$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…23f3backed No | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…58cbbacked No | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…e5dbbacked No | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c07…c0d0backed No | 54c | 106$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0861…1d1dbacked No | 54c | 106$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…ff71backed No | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 56c | 104.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…271fbacked No | 54c | 104$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…6cb6backed No | 54c | 103$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…8a4cbacked No | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed Yes | 37c | 99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26d…ed0ebacked Yes | 46c | 98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 19c | 98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…763dbacked Yes | 46c | 98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1224…d110backed Yes | 46c | 97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x150b…ad7ebacked Yes | 46c | 97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af9…2b7fbacked Yes | 46c | 96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…08b4backed Yes | 46c | 96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…bd44backed Yes | 46c | 96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…0cb4backed Yes | 46c | 94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…bf0dbacked Yes | 46c | 93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…975abacked Yes | 46c | 92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…4971backed Yes | 46c | 92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e8…5ce8backed Yes | 46c | 92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…3b7dbacked No | 54c | 91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…441ebacked Yes | 46c | 91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…c207backed Yes | 46c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d2c8backed Yes | 46c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…3661backed Yes | 46c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa808…be34backed Yes | 46c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…3a15backed Yes | 46c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…0b3cbacked Yes | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42dc…72afbacked Yes | 46c | 82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 24c | 81.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,106 | 43.9%486 W · 620 L | +27.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…b2f0backed Yes | 46c | 81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3410…97a6backed Yes | 46c | 79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb0…9cebbacked Yes | 46c | 79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e52…5995backed Yes | 46c | 78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…a76cbacked Yes | 46c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…e2c7backed Yes | 46c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…70ebbacked Yes | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…a05fbacked Yes | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…353cbacked Yes | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 28c | 72.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 76c | 61.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 70c | 61.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…f70fbacked No | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…96b7backed Yes | 46c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…dcccbacked Yes | 45c | 38.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…6a2cbacked No | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 41c | 35.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Yes | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 79c | 23.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…52d4backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +9.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of February?this page
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $200 end of February?Yes won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of February?Yes won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of February?Yes won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of February?Yes won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $240 end of February?Yes won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of February?Yes won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of February?Yes won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?No won
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 end of February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.