Music · resolved market
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea476dd0635431970af63558e229118edecb5f696568e5e68700fe55ff1c4ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc4c…dbd5backed Yes | 33c | 33,454$11,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,039.82 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 67c | 21,324$14,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,038.75 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Yes | 41c | 4,141$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.71 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked No | 55c | 3,857$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.55 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 55c | 2,977$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.56 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 59c | 2,439$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.98 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked No | 55c | 1,842$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 58c | 1,358$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.98 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 58c | 1,159$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.52 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed No | 54c | 1,120$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 54c | 1,094$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed No | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 44c | 816.91$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.19 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…bf21backed Yes | 46c | 781$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed Yes | 46c | 762$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 39c | 742.6$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…fc31backed No | 59c | 717.09$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fcd2backed No | 54c | 714$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…cfefbacked Yes | 46c | 714$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…7fd9backed Yes | 46c | 671$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 47c | 639.04$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.13 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 42c | 561.41$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.46 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…f3a3backed No | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 60c | 439.82$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.52 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 59c | 404$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.13 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked No | 55c | 400.36$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 57c | 399.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 59c | 397.95$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 59c | 381.46$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 58c | 375.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed No | 54c | 373.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 43c | 350$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…6696backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked No | 55c | 300$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 59c | 276.21$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.55 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 60c | 274.2$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Yes | 40c | 268.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 54c | 244.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.07 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…0931backed No | 60c | 242.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…6052backed Yes | 46c | 238.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 54c | 232.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…667bbacked Yes | 45c | 220.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…30a9backed Yes | 44c | 185.66$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…c49fbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 26cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…cb87backed Yes | 43c | 169.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed No | 61c | 143.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 42c | 141.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed No | 58c | 141.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 52c | 126.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed No | 59c | 123.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Yes | 40c | 122.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 57c | 122.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 37c | 122$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 60c | 121.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 37c | 120.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 53c | 112.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…7b44backed Yes | 47c | 106.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 58c | 105.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…aaaabacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…41bebacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3780…6429backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 55c | 97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed Yes | 41c | 92.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…232fbacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…df35backed Yes | 42c | 86.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 59c | 83.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…0c2dbacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 41c | 79.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed No | 55c | 78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 41c | 73.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…d629backed Yes | 45c | 70.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…1cbbbacked Yes | 43c | 69.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed No | 55c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 44c | 68.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…fea1backed No | 53c | 65.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd04…15ffbacked No | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed No | 61c | 64.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Yes | 38c | 62.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed No | 54c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…0086backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 38c | 51.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…4e7abacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed No | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked Yes | 45c | 50.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a4…77f0backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…72fabacked No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576a…8357backed Yes | 62c | 48.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.